Marin Fencing Academy - San Rafael, CA, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | SOULAIRE Tom | V V D V V V | V V V V V | 4.4 | 5 | +0.6 |
| 2 | YUEN Nathan | V V V V V | V V V V D | 3.1 | 5 | +1.9 |
| 3 | JARIN-LIPSCHITZ Laura | D V D D V V | V V V D | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| 3 | TONG Samuel | D V V D V V | V V V D | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 |
| 5 | ONGSITCO Mark L. | V D V V V V | V V D | 4.2 | 5 | +0.8 |
| 6 | LI Ethan R. | V V D V V | V V D | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| 7 | SODHI Jaco | V V D V D V | V V D | 4.6 | 4 | -0.6 |
| 8 | NG Biwon | D D V D D D | V V D | 3.3 | 1 | -2.3 |
| 9 | PERALTA Christian | V V V V V V | V D | 3.3 | 6 | +2.7 |
| 10 | GENCHEV Madav | V V V V D V | V D | 2.7 | 5 | +2.3 |
| 11 | ROBINSON Samuel | V V V D V V | V D | 3.3 | 5 | +1.7 |
| 12 | TOYOFUKU Ethan | D V D V V V | V D | 2.2 | 4 | +1.8 |
| 13 | NGUYEN Steven | V V D V D V | V D | 5.4 | 4 | -1.4 |
| 14 | MANA Arnav | V V V D V D | V D | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| 15 | SIU Darren | V D D V V D | V D | 4.3 | 3 | -1.3 |
| 16 | SALOM BLASCO Miquel | D V D V V D | V D | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| 17 | NICHOLSON Dimitri E. | D V V V V V | D | 5.6 | 5 | -0.6 |
| 18 | CLAES Thomas | D V V V V D | D | 4.0 | 4 | - |
| 19 | CHIEM Karen | V D V D V V | D | 2.0 | 4 | +2.0 |
| 20 | CHIOU-WILLIAMS Matea | V V V D D | D | 1.9 | 3 | +1.1 |
| 21 | GUO Woody | D V D V D V | D | 2.2 | 3 | +0.8 |
| 22 | LOMIO Nicholas A. | D V V D D V | D | 3.0 | 3 | - |
| 23 | LIN Isabel | D D V V D | D | 3.0 | 2 | -1.0 |
| 24 | ZGRAGGEN dale | D V D D D V | D | 3.1 | 2 | -1.1 |
| 25 | KUO Michael | V D V D D D | D | 3.3 | 2 | -1.3 |
| 26 | BUENAVENTURA Camden | D D V V D D | D | 1.3 | 2 | +0.7 |
| 27 | JACKSON Susana | D D D D V | D | 2.7 | 1 | -1.7 |
| 28 | HSU Joshua | V D D D D D | D | 3.0 | 1 | -2.0 |
| 29 | KATTAN Michel | D D D V D D | D | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
| 30 | SHAN Ruoheng | D D D V D D | D | 1.3 | 1 | -0.3 |
| 31 | ZHANG Rose | D D D D D D | V D | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
| 32 | LIN Jason | D D D D D D | V D | 0.8 | 0 | -0.8 |
| 33 | PERALTA Christian | D D D D D | D | 0.9 | 0 | -0.9 |
| 34 | KATTAN Samuel | D D D D D D | D | 0.7 | 0 | -0.7 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.