7th Annual Knights of the Black Flag

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, October 22, 2023 at 1:00 PM

Buccaneer Blades Fencing - Wentzville, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 POTTER Joshua (Josh) M. - - 3% 19% 47% 31%
2 STRASBURG Grant - 5% 23% 41% 28% 3%
3 CHRISTIAN John R. - - 3% 15% 34% 36% 12%
3 VAUGHAN Paul - - - - 7% 38% 54%
5 BUCKINGHAM Emma N. 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
6 FU Jason - - 2% 15% 43% 35% 5%
7 FU Andrew 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 12% 2%
8 BROWN Lucas 3% 16% 34% 33% 13% 1%
9 STEPHENS Rick W. - 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
10 STRASBURG Reed 1% 7% 27% 42% 20% 3% -
11 SCHONBERG Peter - - 1% 13% 39% 37% 10%
12 OAKES Joshua 5% 23% 38% 26% 7% 1%
13 FULLER II Thomas 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 6% 1%
14 METTE JB 18% 43% 31% 7% - - -
15 MALISZEWSKI Charlie 4% 26% 40% 24% 6% -
16 GIOCOLO David 14% 40% 36% 10% 1% - -
17 EDWARDS Anthony 16% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
18 OWENS Varrik 20% 42% 29% 8% 1% - -
19 DUNN Heidi 18% 40% 31% 10% 1% -
20 SCOGGIN Daniel 2% 12% 27% 32% 20% 6% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.