7th Annual Knights of the Black Flag

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, October 22, 2023 at 1:00 PM

Buccaneer Blades Fencing - Wentzville, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 POTTER Joshua (Josh) M. - - 4% 20% 46% 30%
2 STRASBURG Grant - 5% 24% 41% 26% 3%
3 CHRISTIAN John R. - - 2% 13% 33% 38% 13%
3 VAUGHAN Paul - - - - 7% 38% 54%
5 BUCKINGHAM Emma N. - 3% 17% 36% 31% 11% 1%
6 FU Jason - - 2% 16% 43% 34% 5%
7 FU Andrew - 4% 17% 32% 31% 14% 2%
8 BROWN Lucas 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 1%
9 STEPHENS Rick W. - 5% 18% 33% 29% 12% 2%
10 STRASBURG Reed - 6% 25% 43% 22% 4% -
11 SCHONBERG Peter - - 1% 13% 39% 37% 10%
12 OAKES Joshua 5% 22% 36% 27% 8% 1%
13 FULLER II Thomas 10% 31% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
14 METTE JB 18% 43% 31% 7% - - -
15 MALISZEWSKI Charlie 3% 27% 41% 23% 5% -
16 GIOCOLO David 14% 40% 35% 9% 1% - -
17 EDWARDS Anthony 8% 32% 37% 18% 4% - -
18 OWENS Varrik 20% 42% 29% 8% 1% - -
19 DUNN Heidi 13% 37% 35% 13% 2% -
20 SCOGGIN Daniel 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.