7th Annual Knights of the Black Flag

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, October 22, 2023 at 1:00 PM

Buccaneer Blades Fencing - Wentzville, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 POTTER Joshua (Josh) M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 30%
2 STRASBURG Grant 100% 100% 94% 70% 29% 3%
3 CHRISTIAN John R. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 51% 13%
3 VAUGHAN Paul 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 92% 54%
5 BUCKINGHAM Emma N. 100% 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 1%
6 FU Jason 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 39% 5%
7 FU Andrew 100% 100% 95% 79% 47% 16% 2%
8 BROWN Lucas 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 1%
9 STEPHENS Rick W. 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
10 STRASBURG Reed 100% 100% 94% 69% 26% 4% -
11 SCHONBERG Peter 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 47% 10%
12 OAKES Joshua 100% 95% 72% 36% 9% 1%
13 FULLER II Thomas 100% 90% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
14 METTE JB 100% 82% 39% 7% - - -
15 MALISZEWSKI Charlie 100% 97% 70% 29% 6% -
16 GIOCOLO David 100% 86% 46% 10% 1% - -
17 EDWARDS Anthony 100% 92% 60% 23% 4% - -
18 OWENS Varrik 100% 80% 37% 8% 1% - -
19 DUNN Heidi 100% 87% 50% 15% 2% -
20 SCOGGIN Daniel 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.