7th Annual Knights of the Black Flag

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, October 22, 2023 at 1:00 PM

Buccaneer Blades Fencing - Wentzville, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 POTTER Joshua (Josh) M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 31%
2 STRASBURG Grant 100% 100% 95% 72% 31% 3%
3 CHRISTIAN John R. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 12%
3 VAUGHAN Paul 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 92% 54%
5 BUCKINGHAM Emma N. 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 9% 1%
6 FU Jason 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 40% 5%
7 FU Andrew 100% 99% 93% 74% 41% 13% 2%
8 BROWN Lucas 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 1%
9 STEPHENS Rick W. 100% 100% 94% 73% 39% 12% 1%
10 STRASBURG Reed 100% 99% 93% 66% 24% 3% -
11 SCHONBERG Peter 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 47% 10%
12 OAKES Joshua 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1%
13 FULLER II Thomas 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
14 METTE JB 100% 82% 39% 8% - - -
15 MALISZEWSKI Charlie 100% 96% 70% 30% 6% -
16 GIOCOLO David 100% 86% 46% 11% 1% - -
17 EDWARDS Anthony 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% - -
18 OWENS Varrik 100% 80% 38% 9% 1% - -
19 DUNN Heidi 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% -
20 SCOGGIN Daniel 100% 98% 86% 59% 27% 7% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.