Durkan American Dream RYC

Y-14 Men's Épée

Saturday, November 4, 2023 at 8:30 AM

Durkan Fencing Academy - Garfield, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 NAKAS Levent 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 77%
2 TSE Maxwell 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
3 ZHAO Pierce 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
3 LI Ryan 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 6% -
5 AHMED Mohsen 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
6 KARIMOV Amir 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22%
7 DEGRUCCIO Johnny 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 39% 5%
8 ROLAND Mackinley 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 14%
9 SINGLETON Aman 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
10 MILINKOVIC Maksim 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4%
11 OCONNOR Paul 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% -
12 GLUSHKOV David 100% 97% 81% 45% 12% 1%
13 LI Jade 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 43% 8%
14 NOOL Alexander 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
15 HELMY Richard 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
16 CHAN Aiden 100% 86% 49% 15% 2% -
17 TESFAYE Elias 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 5%
18 DYCKMAN Benjamin 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
19 LI Ray 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 14% 1%
20 KATS Brandon 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 6% -
21 WHITE Jackson 100% 92% 63% 24% 4% -
22 LEVESQUE Gabriel 100% 92% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
23 ZHAI Junqi 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 44% 12%
24 MAZEL Antonin 100% 83% 46% 14% 2% - -
25 AGUIRRE Pablo 100% 89% 57% 21% 3% -
26 YU David 100% 94% 66% 29% 7% 1%
27 WELCH Sebastian 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -
28 SOLARZ Arthur 100% 99% 91% 65% 25% 2%
29 TOPRANI Valmik 100% 99% 87% 57% 22% 3%
30 ARMSTRONG Payson 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2%
31 CAFASSO Alexander 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 3%
32 SHI Evan 100% 86% 43% 12% 2% - -
33 SMITH Theo 100% 93% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
34 LIU Jeremy 100% 95% 71% 35% 9% 1% -
35 BRESLAV Asher 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1% -
36 SHAPIRO Samuel 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 11% 1%
37 WANG Marcus 100% 65% 23% 5% - - -
38 FOGEL Jake 100% 65% 24% 5% - -
39 FRIZZELL Kai 100% 90% 60% 24% 5% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.