Sebastian Welch

2010

Win/Loss Statistics

2024-2025 2023-2024 2022-2023 2021-2022 Before 2021 All Time
Victories 10 4 3 - - 17
Losses 42 42 24 - - 108
Win Ratio 19.2% 8.7% 11.1% - - 13.6%
Pool Victories 8 3 3 - - 14
Pool Losses 34 35 20 - - 89
Pool Win Ratio 19.0% 7.9% 13.0% - - 13.6%
DE Victories 2 1 - - - 3
DE Losses 8 7 4 - - 19
DE Win Ratio 20.0% 12.5% 0.0% - - 13.6%

Note: Seasons start on August 1st and end on July 31st.

Scores

2024-2025 2023-2024 2022-2023 2021-2022 Before 2021 All Time
Easy wins† 1 - 1 - - 2
Easy wins as % of wins 10.0% 0.0% 33.3% - - 11.8%
Close wins‡ 5 3 1 - - 9
Close wins as % of all wins 50.0% 75.0% 33.3% - - 52.9%
Close losses‡ 5 4 3 - - 12
Close losses as % of all losses 11.9% 9.5% 12.5% - - 11.1%
Big losses† 19 27 15 - - 61
Big losses as % of all losses 45.2% 64.3% 62.5% - - 56.5%

† Easy victories or big losses are those with the score difference of 4 or more touches in a pool, 7 or more touches in direct elimination, and 5 or more in veteran and youth direct elimination.
‡ Close bouts are those with the score difference of 1 or fewer touches in a pool, 3 or fewer touches in direct elimination, or 2 or fewer touches in veteran or youth direct elimination.

Bouts with Time Expired

2024-2025 2023-2024 2022-2023 2021-2022 Before 2021 All Time
Victories 2 - - - - 2
Victories as % of all victories 20.0% 0.0% 0.0% - - 11.8%
Losses 4 2 2 - - 8
Losses as % of all losses 9.5% 4.8% 8.3% - - 7.4%
Total 6 2 2 - - 10
Total as % of all bouts 11.5% 4.3% 7.4% - - 8.0%

Events

2024-2025 2023-2024 2022-2023 2021-2022 Before 2021 All Time
Events 8 7 4 - - 19
Tournaments 7 7 4 - - 18

Competition History

2025 West-Rock Junior Olympic Qualifier

Cadet Men's Épée (U, CDT), November 3, 2024
Place 2 of 5, Seed 3, Not ranked, Rating U, Fencing Academy Of Westchester
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool W 5:1 MAZEL Antonin 5 U 5 Fencing Academy Of Westchester 815 566 27.5 34%
Pool L 2:5 GRANT Aidan 2 U 4 Fencing Academy Of Westchester 567 594 20.4 52%
Pool W 5:3 NABI Mikhail 4 U 3 Fencing Academy Of Westchester 667 574 21.8 44%
Pool L 2:5 SOLARZ Arthur 1 D24 1 Fencing Academy Of Westchester 1571 595 2.8 5%
T4 W 15:14 GRANT Aidan 2 U 4 Fencing Academy Of Westchester 1077 950 71.2 43%
T2 L 2:15 SOLARZ Arthur 1 D24 1 Fencing Academy Of Westchester 1857 1021 14.9 10%

2025 West-Rock Junior Olympic Qualifier

Junior Men's Épée (U, JNR), November 3, 2024
Place 3 of 3, Seed 1, Not ranked, Rating U, Fencing Academy Of Westchester
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 2:5 NABI Mikhail 2 U 2 Fencing Academy Of Westchester 640 598 19.9 47%
Pool L 2:5 AU Joshua 3 U 1 Cloak and Dagger Fencing Club 940 579 12.1 28%
T4 L 13:14 NABI Mikhail 2 U 2 Fencing Academy Of Westchester 1056 1014 64.0 48%

The 9-State Fencing Cup

Y-14 Men's Épée (B2, Y14), October 20, 2024
Place 31 of 70, Seed 60, Not ranked, Rating U, Fencing Academy Of Westchester
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 3:5 NORMILE Nicholas 1 6 B24 5 Medeo Fencing Club 2252 503 0.2 < 1%
Pool W 4:2 CHEN Jayden A 41 U 59 New York Fencing Academy 796 502 33.5 32%
Pool W 5:2 LAW Oliver 62 U 68 Rogue Fencing Academy / The Phoenix Center 836 536 32.2 31%
Pool L 2:5 LEE Harrison 20 140 U 23 Marx Fencing Academy 1421 568 4.6 8%
Pool W 5:4 DAI Jason 40 U 47 Cavalier Fencing Club 1085 564 39.4 20%
Pool L 1:5 NOOL Alexander 22 C24 25 Wanglei International Fencing Club 1444 603 4.5 8%
T64 W 15:12 WEISELBERG Mark 63 U 34 New York Fencing Academy 1800 894 150.7 12%
T32 L 5:15 CHEN Edward 25 E24 6 North Shore Fencers Club 1642 1045 30.8 18%

Ben Gutenberg SYC - RJCC

Y-14 Men's Épée (B2, Y14), October 14, 2024
Place 91 of 98, Seed 47, Not ranked, Rating U, Fencing Academy Of Westchester
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool W 4:3 PENG Ethan 88 U 82 Lincoln Fencing Club 1276 479 46.9 12%
Pool L 1:5 MIDYANY Ryan 38 E24 29 New York Fencing Academy 1666 526 2.2 3%
Pool L 1:5 ARMSTRONG TyLee 10 44 D24 14 Penta Olympic Fencing Club 1846 524 1.2 2%
Pool L 3:5 CHEN Tianjun 66 U 31 Cavalier Fencing Club 1093 522 9.6 17%
Pool L 0:5 FRIZZELL Kai 93 U 51 Medeo Fencing Club 1152 513 8.2 15%
Pool L 0:5 CRESPO Nathaniel Justus 33 D24 27 Hills Fencing Institute 1684 505 1.9 3%
T128 L 7:15 CHEN Isaac Zhi 23 99 E24 39 1968 907 12.8 6%

October NAC

Div II Men's Épée (B3, DV2), October 5, 2024
Place 192 of 201, Seed 203, Not ranked, Rating U, Fencing Academy Of Westchester
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 2:5 BLAKESLEE Ian 141 E24 138 1707 486 2.2 3%
Pool L 4:5 KIM Remington 159 E24 95 LA International Fencing 1553 483 2.9 4%
Pool L 3:5 NABAVI Matthew R. 99 D24 134 North Shore Fencers Club 2342 481 0.1 < 1%
Pool L 1:5 SALLAM omar 22 C24 10 2354 481 0.1 < 1%
Pool L 3:5 SCHIAVONE Oreste 82 C22 177 Fencers Club Inc. / Staten Island Fencing Club 1808 480 1.2 1%
Pool L 2:3 SINGH Ravin 39 C24 3 ASER International Fencing Academy 2211 479 0.2 < 1%
T256 L 5:15 AGGELER Donovan 55 C24 51 Northern Colorado Fencers 2130 915 8.3 3%

Neil Lazar Div1/Div2/Veteran ROC

Div II Men's Épée (C3, DV2), September 28, 2024
Place 66 of 70, Seed 67, Not ranked, Rating U, Fencing Academy Of Westchester
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 0:5 CASERTANO Lorenzo O. 6 C24 9 Masters Fencing Academy NJ 3002 427 0.0 < 1%
Pool W 5:4 BUISINE Sebastien 54 E23 63 Rogue Fencing Academy / The Phoenix Center 1386 427 66.1 6%
Pool L 0:5 SONG Changze 13 C24 22 Cavalier Fencing Club 1803 493 1.3 2%
Pool L 1:5 HE Bronto 42 E24 52 Shoreline Fencers Club 1538 492 3.1 4%
Pool L 3:5 KABA Elias 26 D24 40 Rhode Island Fencing Academy And Club 1698 489 1.9 2%
Pool L 1:5 LIN Nathan 35 D24 13 North Shore Fencers Club 1778 487 1.4 2%
T128 L 10:15 BUISINE Sebastien 54 E23 63 Rogue Fencing Academy / The Phoenix Center 1332 972 57.1 31%

Premier Challenge ROC/RJCC/RPC

Div II Men's Épée (C2, DV2), September 14, 2024
Place 62 of 62, Seed 50, Not ranked, Rating U, Fencing Academy Of Westchester
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 2:4 LEE Henry 60 U 51 Medeo Fencing Club 1301 439 5.5 8%
Pool L 1:5 SONG Changze 5 C24 8 Cavalier Fencing Club 1822 434 1.0 1%
Pool L 2:5 SMITH Troy H. 14 D24 26 LEO Fencing Club 2140 433 0.3 < 1%
Pool L 2:5 ALEXANDER Christopher 32 E24 47 Freehold Fencing Academy 1728 433 1.5 2%
Pool L 1:4 HOWELL Liam 41 E24 11 Rogue Fencers Guild 1561 431 2.6 3%
Pool L 0:5 RIM Eugene 23 D24 3 North Shore Fencers Club 1767 429 1.2 1%
T64 L 10:15 RIM Eugene 23 D24 3 North Shore Fencers Club 2075 986 13.6 5%

Neil Lazar RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Épée (B2, Y14), September 8, 2024
Place 61 of 67, Seed 60, Not ranked, Rating U, Fencing Academy Of Westchester
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 4:5 KABA Elias 21 E24 5 Rhode Island Fencing Academy And Club 1614 429 2.4 3%
Pool W 5:3 CIANCHETTA David 62 U 65 Vivo Fencing Club 758 427 42.8 30%
Pool L 0:5 LIU Adam 1 23 B24 7 Rogue Fencing Academy / The Phoenix Center 2194 469 0.3 < 1%
Pool L 2:5 WANG Marcus 61 U 27 Arena Fencing Academy LLC 1053 469 11.0 17%
Pool L 4:5 SHAO Mason 39 U 54 North Shore Fencers Club 1078 458 10.0 16%
Pool L 0:5 GU Eric 20 E24 12 Cavalier Fencing Club 1127 448 8.6 14%
T64 L 6:15 CHEN Jayden 7 57 C24 1 Medeo Fencing Club / Wanglei International Fencing Club 2278 994 8.0 3%

Perseus RYC/RJCC +Y8

Y-14 Men's Épée (B2, Y14), May 11, 2024
Place 76 of 80, Seed 40, Not ranked, Rating U, Fencing Academy Of Westchester
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 3:5 SONG Aidan 34 U 13 Olympia Fencing Center 1519 447 3.5 4%
Pool L 0:5 PENG Yue 10 126 D24 2 Penta Olympic Fencing Club 1743 444 1.7 2%
Pool L 3:5 HELMY Richard 15 197 D24 22 1713 442 1.8 2%
Pool L 3:4 YU David 58 U 59 Medeo Fencing Club / Wanglei International Fencing Club 1140 440 9.1 13%
Pool L 1:5 GREENFIELD Caleb 80 U 27 Peter Westbrook Foundation / Fencers Club Inc. 1681 431 2.2 3%
T128 L 6:15 CUELLAR Markus 75 U 53 Rockland Fencers Club 1546 1046 52.4 25%

Buckie Leach RYC

Y-14 Men's Épée (B2, Y14), April 21, 2024
Place 39 of 48, Seed 24, Not ranked, Rating U, Fencing Academy Of Westchester
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 0:5 AHMED Mohsen 8 109 C24 3 Rogue Fencing Academy / The Phoenix Center 1808 391 1.2 1%
Pool W 5:3 FRIZZELL Kai 28 U 38 Medeo Fencing Club 1097 390 68.4 13%
Pool L 0:5 BAJAJ Nakul 7 105 E24 15 Vivo Fencing Club 1755 459 1.7 2%
Pool L 2:5 MILINKOVIC Maksim 41 U 14 ArtDu Fencing 1472 457 4.3 5%
Pool L 4:5 NOOL Alexander 20 U 27 Wanglei International Fencing Club 1389 453 5.2 6%
T64 L 3:15 CZEPLA Andrew 14 E24 8 Medeo Fencing Club 1756 1089 43.4 16%

2024 Winter Thrust RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Épée (C2, Y14), February 4, 2024
Place 64 of 66, Seed 33, Not ranked, Rating U, Fencing Academy Of Westchester
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 1:5 LUR'YE Killian 57 U 43 Arena Fencing Academy LLC / Masters Fencing Academy NJ 1125 417 10.5 13%
Pool L 0:5 RADZIKOWSKI Sam 34 U 17 Vivo Fencing Club 1446 406 4.4 5%
Pool L 4:5 NOOL Alexander 66 U 49 Wanglei International Fencing Club 1344 402 5.7 6%
Pool L 1:5 TESFAYE Elias 12 118 E23 31 Olympia Fencing Center 1482 396 3.7 4%
Pool L 0:5 SUN Lucas 11 116 E23 2 North Shore Fencers Club 1887 392 1.0 1%
T128 W 15:13 SHI Evan 38 U 65 Cavalier Fencing Club 868 1001 118.7 57%
T64 L 1:15 DOUBOV Andrew 8 80 D23 5 Arena Fencing Academy LLC 1995 1120 30.5 10%

Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Y-14 Men's Épée (B2/C3, Y14), January 13, 2024
Place 185 of 189, Seed 126, Not ranked, Rating U, Fencing Academy Of Westchester
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 0:5 KIM Zac 183 U 135 Fencing Academy Of Philadelphia 1431 443 5.8 6%
Pool L 1:4 LEE Henry 156 U 86 Medeo Fencing Club 1143 437 11.0 13%
Pool L 2:5 SHAFFER Tyler 43 95 U 33 Windy City Fencing-Chicago 1407 426 5.4 6%
Pool L 0:5 JIANG Matthew 70 D23 104 1850 421 1.2 1%
Pool L 2:5 KOPPENHEFFER Rowan 99 U 83 Boston Fencing Club 1632 419 2.6 2%
T256 L 5:15 KARIMOV Amir 27 67 D23 56 North Shore Fencers Club 2000 1034 32.3 8%

Cobra Challenge SYC/RCC/Y8

Y-14 Men's Épée (B2/C3, Y14), November 24, 2023
Place 119 of 119, Seed 104, Not ranked, Rating U, Fencing Academy Of Westchester
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 0:5 ZHAI Junqi 65 U 90 New York Fencing Academy 1605 503 4.5 4%
Pool L 1:5 LI Ryan 73 U 65 Medeo Fencing Club 1132 499 14.3 15%
Pool L 0:5 JIANG Aaron 37 97 U 40 Dynamo Fencing Center Inc. 1230 484 10.9 12%
Pool L 0:5 AHMED Mohsen 32 84 E23 33 Rogue Fencing Academy / The Phoenix Center 1621 473 3.6 3%
Pool L 0:5 WANG Marcus 107 U 102 Arena Fencing Academy 729 470 26.5 34%
Pool L 0:5 BOUDREAUX James 3 12 B23 8 Elite Fencing Academy (VA) / Elite Fencing Academy (GA) 2106 443 0.5 < 1%
T128 L 4:15 ELHUSSEINI Kyle 24 69 D22 11 Alliance Fencing Academy 2674 1039 5.2 1%

Durkan American Dream RYC

Y-14 Men's Épée (U, Y14), November 4, 2023
Place 27 of 39, Seed 14, Not ranked, Rating U, Fencing Academy Of Westchester
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool W 5:4 SHI Evan 11 U 32 Cavalier Fencing Club 680 374 72.3 32%
Pool L 0:5 LI Ryan 35 U 3 Medeo Fencing Club 1090 446 16.8 15%
Pool W 5:4 SHAPIRO Samuel 33 U 36 Arena Fencing Academy LLC 1196 429 99.8 11%
Pool L 0:5 KATS Brandon 23 U 20 New York Fencing Academy 1114 529 16.9 17%
Pool L 4:5 LI Jade 25 U 13 Long Island Fencing Center 1462 512 7.0 6%
Pool L 2:5 SINGLETON Aman 2 78 D23 9 Olympia Fencing Center 1854 505 2.0 2%
T32 L 2:15 AHMED Mohsen 3 78 E23 5 Rogue Fencing Academy / The Phoenix Center 1641 1128 89.2 24%

Jersey Clash RYC/RJCC& Y8

Y-14 Men's Épée (C2, Y14), October 14, 2023
Place 73 of 75, Seed 30, Not ranked, Rating U, Fencing Academy Of Westchester
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 1:5 MIDYANY Ryan 74 U 25 New York Fencing Academy 1629 420 4.7 3%
Pool L 1:5 SAVORETTI Pietro 8 64 D23 5 Ocean State Fencing Club 2097 415 0.8 < 1%
Pool L 2:5 PAN Anthony 15 D22 24 Olympia Fencing Center 1477 414 7.1 5%
Pool L 0:5 LUO Alexander 37 U 39 New Jersey Fencing Alliance / Medeo Fencing Club 1568 407 5.3 3%
Pool L 3:5 PLATT-BRANNON Tycho 52 U 51 Fencing Academy Of Philadelphia / Fencing Academy Of Philadelphia North 1559 402 6.8 5%
Pool L 2:5 WANG Eric 56 U 61 Wanglei International Fencing Club 984 395 21.1 19%
T128 L 10:15 CHEN Daniel 65 U 57 Cavalier Fencing Club 2015 1186 58.5 13%

American Challenge RYC/RJC

Y-12 Men's Épée (U, Y12), November 20, 2022
Place 31 of 32, Seed 23, Not ranked, Rating U, Fencing Academy Of Westchester
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 2:5 KHANNA Zoraver 8 U 25 Wanglei International Fencing Club 533 548 67.3 51%
Pool L 0:5 CHEN Jayden 3 33 U 1 Medeo Fencing Club / Wanglei International Fencing Club 1413 480 11.8 7%
Pool L 2:5 SONG Aidan 13 U 10 Olympia Fencing Center 1369 468 12.4 8%
Pool L 1:5 FEIMER Ben 28 U 23 Rockland Fencers Club 1199 456 18.8 17%
Pool L 2:5 CRESPO Nathaniel Justus 17 U 19 Hills Fencing Institute (H3) 1176 437 17.7 14%
T32 L 2:15 CHEN Jayden 3 33 U 1 Medeo Fencing Club / Wanglei International Fencing Club 1883 1291 104.6 22%

Neil Lazar RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Épée (U, Y12), November 6, 2022
Place 17 of 32, Seed 27, Not ranked, Rating U, Fencing Academy Of Westchester
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 3:4 WU Matthew 20 U 21 New York Fencing Academy 1006 196 29.5 11%
Pool L 0:5 HANNA Alexander 22 U 10 Olympia Fencing Center 816 166 38.2 17%
Pool W 5:2 LEE Harrison 10 U 15 Olympia Fencing Center 1484 128 289.6 2%
Pool W 5:0 SANTANA Sebastian 11 U 32 322 418 66.1 55%
Pool L 0:5 LIU Adam 1 22 U 2 Rogue Fencing Academy 1715 484 6.3 3%
Pool W 5:4 ZHANG Shuhao 30 U 23 North Shore Fencers Club 447 478 69.8 52%
T32 L 3:15 CAFASSO Alexander 31 U 16 Olympia Fencing Center 1863 1464 173.1 31%

Garden State Trick or Re-Treat RYC/RJC

Y-12 Men's Épée (U, Y12), October 23, 2022
Place 27 of 27, Seed 18, Not ranked, Rating U, Fencing Academy Of Westchester
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 1:5 YOON Jonathan 14 U 18 Boston Fencing Club 651 507 140.4 42%
Pool L 0:5 LYCHKO Maksym 10 U 3 Medeo Fencing Club 1355 366 29.1 9%
Pool L 1:5 ZHAI Junqi 22 U 5 North Shore Fencers Club 1915 337 5.3 1%
Pool L 2:5 TOPRANI Valmik 3 U 11 Platinum Fencing Academy 2117 332 3.9 1%
Pool L 1:2 WU Matthew 6 U 14 New York Fencing Academy 1089 328 40.8 13%
Pool L 2:5 KHANNA Zoraver 23 U 23 Wanglei International Fencing Club 493 287 91.2 38%
T32 L 4:15 LYCHKO Maksym 10 U 3 Medeo Fencing Club 1665 1827 362.6 57%

Jersey Clash RYC/RCC

Y-12 Men's Épée (U, Y12), October 16, 2022
Place 31 of 31, Seed 20, Not ranked, Rating U, Fencing Academy Of Westchester
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 1:5 CRESPO Nathaniel Justus 31 U 21 Hills Fencing Institute (H3) 2500 2500 420.5 50%
Pool L 4:5 ZHANG Shuhao 19 U 26 North Shore Fencers Club 255 2079 1240.5 97%
Pool L 1:5 LONG Kevin 25 U 2 Wanglei International Fencing Club 1248 839 164.1 30%
Pool L 2:5 NAKAS Levent 1 10 E21 1 New York Fencing Academy 2107 675 18.1 3%
Pool L 0:5 KIM Henry 11 U 10 New York Fencing Academy 1396 657 76.3 16%
Pool L 1:5 LUO Alexander 10 U 18 New Jersey Fencing Alliance / Fencers Club Inc. 1254 581 73.8 18%
T32 L 1:15 TSE Maxwell 8 U 5 North Shore Fencers Club 2191 2500 673.4 62%