Event Results

Div III Mixed Épée

Troy Cullen Memorial Halloween Open (W&M)Surprise Map

Saturday, November 4, 2023 at 1:00 PM William & Mary Adair Gym · Williamsburg, VA, USA

29 finishers

Difficulty Upsets Pool Heatmap Strength

Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.

#	Name	Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome		Pool Victories
#	Name	Pool	DE	Exp.	Act.	Diff.
1	PANE Patrick	V D V D V	V V V V V	2.8	3	+0.2
2	ANDERSON Derek M.	V V V D V	V V V V D	4.0	4	-
3	WALLACE George	V V V V V	V V D	3.2	5	+1.8
3	WATSON Raymond	V V V V	V V D	3.0	4	+1.0
5	PHILLIPS Ethan D.	V V D V V	V D	3.2	4	+0.8
6	FEAGIN Patrick	V D V V V	V V D	2.4	4	+1.6
7	MORTIMER Gavin	V V V V D	V V D	3.3	4	+0.7
8	SUN Ethan	V V V D V	V V D	2.1	4	+1.9
9	CHEMEZOV Trent	D V V V V	V D	2.5	4	+1.5
10	SINGH Jawand	D V V V V	V D	2.8	4	+1.2
11	MILLER Luke	V V D V V	V D	3.3	4	+0.7
12	BARTLETT Lauren	V V D V D	V D	1.4	3	+1.6
13	MONTESI Eric	D D D V V	V D	3.7	2	-1.7
14	COVITZ Ashley A.	V V D D D	V D	2.8	2	-0.8
15	LEE Benjamin	V D D D V	V D	1.2	2	+0.8
16	FORMY DUVAL Christopher	D D D V D	V D	4.0	1	-3.0
17	BADLANI Neel	V V D V	D	1.7	3	+1.3
18	DOYLE Jacob	D V V D	D	2.5	2	-0.5
19	KARASICK Andrew	D V V D D	D	2.4	2	-0.4
20	ANDERSON Dean	D D V D V	D	3.2	2	-1.2
21	SONVICO Jeremy	D V V D D	D	1.8	2	+0.2
22	TANG Justin	D D D V	D	1.9	1	-0.9
23	LUNDEN Espen	D D V D D	D	0.9	1	+0.1
24	MOORE Mary	V D D D D	D	0.5	1	+0.5
25	KRONAUGE Andersen	D D D V D	D	1.9	1	-0.9
26	WANG Kobe	D D D V D	D	2.3	1	-1.3
27	BJERKNESS Riley	D D D D D	D	2.1	0	-2.1
28	ROUADY Ryan	D D D D D	D	2.3	0	-2.3
29	MCDOWELL Finn	D D D D	D	0.8	0	-0.8

Outcome	Difficulty	Win Probability
Victory	Very Hard	0% to 20%
Victory	Hard	20% to 40%
Victory	Roughly Even	40% to 60%
Victory	Easy	60% to 80%
Victory	Very Easy	80% to 100%
Defeat	Very Hard	0% to 20%
Defeat	Hard	20% to 40%
Defeat	Roughly Even	40% to 60%
Defeat	Easy	60% to 80%
Defeat	Very Easy	80% to 100%

The future of US Fencing is at stake!