Troy Cullen Memorial Halloween Open (W&M)

Senior Mixed Saber

Saturday, November 4, 2023 at 3:30 PM

William & Mary Adair Gym - Williamsburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FENKER William M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
2 XU Ivan 100% 100% 90% 62% 26% 5% -
3 SEMP Brannon A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 24%
3 RAUSCHER Ryan 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 15%
5 NOVEY Eric 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 38% 7%
6 CLARK Keagan 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 5%
7 JACKSON Evan 100% 96% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
8 FENG Brendan 100% 85% 51% 19% 4% - -
9 XU Emily T. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 21%
10 CASSIDY Connor J. 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 12% 1%
11 DELALIO Peter 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 29% 4%
12 CATLETT III Robert 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 25% 4%
13 MAY Matthew 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
14 CAYABAN Jessica 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% - -
15 SUTHERLAND Jr. Richard L. 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 12% 1%
16 PARCELL Colby 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1% -
17 ROCHARDSON Payten 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
18 LAUDO Joseph 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
19 SU Ji 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 3% -
20 STAM August M. 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
21 ABU-AJAJ Mohamed 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
22 LEE Matthew 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 7% 1%
23 URIBE David 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
24 STEVENS Chrysanthi Z. 100% 94% 62% 23% 4% - -
24 WALLACE Leo 100% 98% 88% 63% 30% 8% 1%
26 WANG Erica 100% 88% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
27 FEIRA Justin 100% 100% 95% 65% 23% 3% -
28 NI Hao 100% 99% 90% 65% 32% 9% 1%
29 WALKER Joseph 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 9% 1%
30 BUNCHER Michael 100% 95% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
30 JIN Adam 100% 95% 65% 23% 4% - -
32 OHASHI Jax 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2% -
33 KUHLMAN John B. 100% 98% 88% 60% 26% 6% 1%
34 LESTYAN Cat 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
35 PRICE Jesse 100% 99% 91% 69% 35% 9% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.