October NAC

Div II Men's Épée

Friday, October 12, 2018 at 9:00 AM

Milwaukee, WI - Milwaukee, WI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CARVALHO Daniel S. - 1% 7% 24% 37% 26% 6%
2 BEKKER Mitchel - - 2% 13% 33% 39% 13%
3 SEABURY Maxwell G. - 1% 7% 24% 37% 26% 6%
3 LESPERANCE Lucas 1% 6% 21% 35% 27% 9% 1%
5 DANZIG Jacob S. - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
6 SILVERS Noah E. - 1% 5% 20% 37% 29% 8%
7 DAO Matthew M. - 1% 6% 25% 43% 25%
8 ZHANG William - 4% 17% 33% 32% 13% 1%
9 XIAN Riley - 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
10 SHUR Yakov C. - - - 1% 12% 42% 44%
11 STEVENS James F. - 4% 18% 34% 30% 11% 1%
12 YAO Shun - 1% 9% 26% 37% 23% 4%
13 LI Brian X 2% 19% 36% 30% 11% 2% -
14 KELSEY Ryan 2% 10% 25% 32% 22% 8% 1%
15 NIEBERGALL Colin G. - - 4% 16% 34% 35% 11%
16 BENYOVSZKY Barnabas - 2% 12% 31% 34% 18% 3%
17 WANG Nathan - - - 3% 22% 53% 23%
18 ROBINSON Riley - - - 1% 8% 42% 49%
19 SYED Saif M. - - 5% 21% 36% 28% 8%
20 XIAN Ryan - - 1% 10% 30% 40% 19%
20 NESTEROV Andrew E. - 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 6%
22 MARAKOV Allen B. - - 3% 13% 31% 36% 16%
23 GREEN Jake L. - 4% 21% 39% 29% 7%
24 MCDERMOTT Brian - 2% 13% 33% 35% 14% 2%
25 FARQUHARSON Cole - 4% 15% 30% 31% 16% 3%
26 LEI Jacob - 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 2%
27 KRONROD Tal - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 25%
28 LAVENSTEIN Kinley V. - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
29 DEO Ameya 11% 35% 37% 15% 2% - -
30 FRY Nicholas (Nico) J. 4% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
31 BYNAGARI Prateek 1% 11% 31% 35% 17% 4% -
32 KIM Michael 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
33 MCINTYRE Gregory R. - 2% 14% 36% 34% 11% 1%
34 MIELE Benjamin - - 1% 9% 31% 42% 16%
35 ALAIMO Charles - 4% 18% 38% 32% 8%
37 FAN Beichen - 3% 14% 33% 35% 14% 1%
38 ALTHARDT Michael W. - 2% 9% 25% 34% 23% 6%
39 PAK Charles 6% 27% 38% 23% 6% 1%
40 GUI Runlin 3% 15% 33% 32% 14% 3% -
41 CRASWELL Andrew J. - 5% 25% 39% 25% 6% -
42 SIDEWATER Matthew - 3% 18% 36% 31% 11% 1%
43 MOON Ryan Y. 1% 13% 32% 33% 16% 4% -
44 OH Matthew M. 6% 28% 38% 21% 5% 1% -
45 FRANCO-TENTIOUK Christopher J. 1% 6% 23% 37% 26% 7% 1%
46 XIANG HONGYI 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
47 HU Matthew 22% 39% 27% 10% 2% - -
48 INSLER Ethan C. - - 2% 12% 31% 39% 16%
49 NGUYEN Steven 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 1%
50 REINER Julius J. 2% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
51 GARCIA Christopher W. 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 5% -
52 CHO Tyler H. 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
53 WILLIAMS Derek 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% -
53 CONKLIN Jim 3% 20% 36% 28% 11% 2% -
55 ALI Adam 2% 14% 34% 35% 13% 1% -
56 BEACH Nicholas 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
57 ZUBECK Dominic 8% 34% 39% 16% 3% -
58 SMITH Nicholas S. 20% 45% 28% 6% 1% - -
59 SPAIN Colin 9% 29% 35% 20% 5% 1% -
60 BYNAGARI Niketh 17% 47% 28% 7% 1% - -
61 HURST Palmer 13% 34% 34% 16% 3% - -
62 MCAMIS Eli D. 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
63 WISNIEWSKI Bart 11% 34% 36% 15% 3% - -
64 DALY Conor 19% 40% 29% 10% 2% - -
65 ZHANG zhiyin 12% 32% 33% 17% 5% 1% -
66 LOCASALE Nicholas A. 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
67 TERRELL Theodore M. 9% 32% 37% 18% 3% - -
68 KUHN Jeffrey - 5% 24% 39% 25% 6% -
69 AHN Sung-Ho 7% 29% 39% 21% 5% - -
70 KIRSCH Adam J. 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
71 JUSCINSKI Michal 5% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
72 RODNEY Maxwell 6% 25% 38% 24% 6% 1% -
73 STONE Ken 18% 39% 30% 10% 2% - -
74 MILLER Lance W. 11% 33% 36% 17% 3% - -
75 TIERNEY Luke 26% 45% 23% 5% - -
76 JOO Benjamin 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.