October NAC

Div II Men's Épée

Friday, October 12, 2018 at 9:00 AM

Milwaukee, WI - Milwaukee, WI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CARVALHO Daniel S. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 6%
2 BEKKER Mitchel 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 13%
3 SEABURY Maxwell G. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 6%
3 LESPERANCE Lucas 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 10% 1%
5 DANZIG Jacob S. 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 8%
6 SILVERS Noah E. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 8%
7 DAO Matthew M. 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
8 ZHANG William 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 14% 1%
9 XIAN Riley 100% 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 2%
10 SHUR Yakov C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 44%
11 STEVENS James F. 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 1%
12 YAO Shun 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 4%
13 LI Brian X 100% 98% 79% 43% 13% 2% -
14 KELSEY Ryan 100% 98% 88% 63% 31% 9% 1%
15 NIEBERGALL Colin G. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 11%
16 BENYOVSZKY Barnabas 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 3%
17 WANG Nathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 75% 23%
18 ROBINSON Riley 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 49%
19 SYED Saif M. 100% 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 8%
20 XIAN Ryan 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 19%
20 NESTEROV Andrew E. 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
22 MARAKOV Allen B. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16%
23 GREEN Jake L. 100% 100% 96% 75% 36% 7%
24 MCDERMOTT Brian 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 16% 2%
25 FARQUHARSON Cole 100% 100% 96% 80% 50% 19% 3%
26 LEI Jacob 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 18% 2%
27 KRONROD Tal 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25%
28 LAVENSTEIN Kinley V. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
29 DEO Ameya 100% 89% 55% 18% 2% - -
30 FRY Nicholas (Nico) J. 100% 96% 73% 35% 10% 1% -
31 BYNAGARI Prateek 100% 99% 88% 56% 21% 4% -
32 KIM Michael 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 2% -
33 MCINTYRE Gregory R. 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 12% 1%
34 MIELE Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 16%
35 ALAIMO Charles 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 8%
37 FAN Beichen 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 16% 1%
38 ALTHARDT Michael W. 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 29% 6%
39 PAK Charles 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1%
40 GUI Runlin 100% 97% 82% 49% 18% 3% -
41 CRASWELL Andrew J. 100% 100% 94% 70% 31% 6% -
42 SIDEWATER Matthew 100% 100% 97% 79% 43% 12% 1%
43 MOON Ryan Y. 100% 99% 85% 53% 20% 4% -
44 OH Matthew M. 100% 94% 65% 27% 6% 1% -
45 FRANCO-TENTIOUK Christopher J. 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7% 1%
46 XIANG HONGYI 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 12% 1%
47 HU Matthew 100% 78% 39% 11% 2% - -
48 INSLER Ethan C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
49 NGUYEN Steven 100% 99% 93% 71% 38% 11% 1%
50 REINER Julius J. 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 6% -
51 GARCIA Christopher W. 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6% -
52 CHO Tyler H. 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
53 WILLIAMS Derek 100% 99% 88% 62% 28% 6% -
53 CONKLIN Jim 100% 97% 77% 41% 12% 2% -
55 ALI Adam 100% 98% 83% 49% 14% 1% -
56 BEACH Nicholas 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
57 ZUBECK Dominic 100% 92% 58% 19% 3% -
58 SMITH Nicholas S. 100% 80% 35% 7% 1% - -
59 SPAIN Colin 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
60 BYNAGARI Niketh 100% 83% 36% 8% 1% - -
61 HURST Palmer 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% - -
62 MCAMIS Eli D. 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% - -
63 WISNIEWSKI Bart 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% - -
64 DALY Conor 100% 81% 41% 12% 2% - -
65 ZHANG zhiyin 100% 88% 56% 23% 5% 1% -
66 LOCASALE Nicholas A. 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 8% 1%
67 TERRELL Theodore M. 100% 91% 58% 21% 4% - -
68 KUHN Jeffrey 100% 100% 94% 70% 31% 6% -
69 AHN Sung-Ho 100% 93% 65% 26% 5% - -
70 KIRSCH Adam J. 100% 91% 62% 27% 6% 1% -
71 JUSCINSKI Michal 100% 95% 70% 33% 8% 1% -
72 RODNEY Maxwell 100% 94% 69% 32% 7% 1% -
73 STONE Ken 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% - -
74 MILLER Lance W. 100% 89% 56% 21% 3% - -
75 TIERNEY Luke 100% 74% 28% 5% - -
76 JOO Benjamin 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.