William & Mary Adair Gym - Williamsburg, VA, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | DIMMETT David C. | D V V V V | V V V V V | 4.5 | 4 | -0.5 |
| 2 | O'HARA Keegan J. | V V V V D V | V V V V D | 5.6 | 5 | -0.6 |
| 3 | OTT James (Jimmy) P. | V V V V V | V V V D | 4.4 | 5 | +0.6 |
| 3 | PETERS Nathan M. | V V V V D V | V V V D | 5.0 | 5 | - |
| 5 | CULPEPPER John (JR) R. | V V V V V V | V V D | 5.5 | 6 | +0.5 |
| 6 | COUGHLIN Nolan E. | V V V V V V | V V D | 4.2 | 6 | +1.8 |
| 7 | MOLITERNI Matthew N. | V V D V V V | V V D | 3.7 | 5 | +1.3 |
| 8 | CHRISTY Peter C. | V V D V V V | V V D | 4.1 | 5 | +0.9 |
| 9 | TABLEMAN Doug S. | V D V V V V | V D | 4.5 | 5 | +0.5 |
| 10 | BRATTON Jack S. | D V V V V V | V D | 3.8 | 5 | +1.2 |
| 11 | WALLACE George | V V D V V | V D | 2.7 | 4 | +1.3 |
| 12 | SCHAPIRO Jacob | V D V V V | V D | 3.7 | 4 | +0.3 |
| 13 | HURST Palmer | V V V V D | V V D | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
| 14 | ANDERSON Derek M. | V V V V D | V V D | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| 15 | STEPHENS Corbin | D V V V V | V V D | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| 16 | WATSON Raymond | V D V V V | V V D | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| 17 | GRESHAM Rebekah L. | V V V D V D | V D | 4.0 | 4 | - |
| 18 | SUN Ethan | V V V V D D | V D | 1.6 | 4 | +2.4 |
| 19 | ZALEWSKI David | V D V V D V | V D | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| 20 | WHITE Myles | V D D V V | V D | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| 21 | CARTER Austin L. | D V V V D | V D | 3.8 | 3 | -0.8 |
| 21 | BAGHA Armin | V V D D V | V D | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| 23 | MILLER Luke | V D V D V | V D | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| 24 | ZOOK Evan D. | V D D D V V | V D | 4.3 | 3 | -1.3 |
| 25 | EVANS Allen L. | D V V D V D | V D | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| 26 | LAM Bill | D D V D V V | D | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| 27 | GUMPRICH Joe P. | V D D V V D | V D | 3.6 | 3 | -0.6 |
| 28 | MILLSON Daniel | V V D V D D | V D | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| 29 | LEE Benjamin | V V D D D | V D | 1.4 | 2 | +0.6 |
| 30 | KIM Joshua | D D V V D | V D | 1.5 | 2 | +0.5 |
| 31 | PANE Patrick | D D V D V | V D | 2.0 | 2 | - |
| 32 | LUNDEN Espen | D D V D D D | V D | 0.5 | 1 | +0.5 |
| 33 | MONTESI Eric | V V V D D | D | 3.0 | 3 | - |
| 34 | ANDERSON Dean | V V D D D | D | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| 35 | FEAGIN Patrick | D D V D D V | D | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| 36 | MOORE Mary | D D V V D D | D | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
| 37 | SAAL Anna | V D D D D V | D | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| 38 | SONVICO Jeremy | V D D D V D | D | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
| 39 | SINGH Jawand | D V D D V D | 3.2 | 2 | -1.2 | |
| 40 | BADLANI Neel | D D D D V | D | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| 41 | BARTLETT Lauren | D D D V D | D | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| 42 | EVANS George | D V D D D | D | 0.3 | 1 | +0.7 |
| 43 | MCDOWELL Finn | D D D D V | D | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| 44 | KARASICK Andrew | D D D D D V | D | 1.5 | 1 | -0.5 |
| 45 | COVITZ Ashley A. | D V D D D D | D | 2.4 | 1 | -1.4 |
| 46 | WALKER Joseph | D D V D D D | D | 1.0 | 1 | - |
| 47 | BARBER Christopher | D D D D V D | D | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| 48 | GRESHAM Sarah L. | D D D D D | D | 2.5 | 0 | -2.5 |
| 49 | TANG Justin | D D D D D | D | 1.3 | 0 | -1.3 |
| 50 | KEIM Spencer | D D D D D D | D | 1.6 | 0 | -1.6 |
| 51 | ROUADY Ryan | D D D D D | D | 0.9 | 0 | -0.9 |
| 52 | SALAM Siam | D D D D D D | D | 2.7 | 0 | -2.7 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.