Troy Cullen Memorial Halloween Open (W&M)

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, November 5, 2023 at 9:00 AM

William & Mary Adair Gym - Williamsburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DIMMETT David C. - - - 6% 36% 58%
2 O'HARA Keegan J. - - - - 4% 29% 67%
3 OTT James (Jimmy) P. - - 1% 9% 38% 52%
3 PETERS Nathan M. - - - 4% 20% 43% 33%
5 CULPEPPER John (JR) R. - - - 1% 7% 36% 56%
6 COUGHLIN Nolan E. - - 4% 18% 37% 33% 9%
7 MOLITERNI Matthew N. - 2% 11% 28% 37% 20% 3%
8 CHRISTY Peter C. - - 3% 18% 44% 30% 4%
9 TABLEMAN Doug S. - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
10 BRATTON Jack S. - - 6% 32% 40% 19% 3%
11 WALLACE George 1% 11% 32% 36% 17% 3%
12 SCHAPIRO Jacob - - 5% 32% 48% 15%
13 HURST Palmer - 1% 13% 49% 33% 4%
14 ANDERSON Derek M. - 5% 23% 41% 26% 4%
15 STEPHENS Corbin - 3% 13% 32% 36% 15%
16 WATSON Raymond - 7% 26% 37% 24% 6%
17 GRESHAM Rebekah L. - 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 7%
18 SUN Ethan 11% 36% 36% 15% 2% - -
19 ZALEWSKI David - 4% 22% 39% 26% 8% 1%
20 WHITE Myles 1% 5% 21% 36% 29% 8%
21 CARTER Austin L. - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
21 BAGHA Armin - 3% 18% 39% 32% 7%
23 MILLER Luke 1% 9% 29% 37% 21% 4%
24 ZOOK Evan D. - - 2% 14% 41% 37% 5%
25 EVANS Allen L. - 7% 27% 38% 22% 5% -
26 LAM Bill 1% 10% 28% 35% 21% 5% -
27 GUMPRICH Joe P. - 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
28 MILLSON Daniel - 6% 28% 40% 21% 4% -
29 LEE Benjamin 13% 41% 38% 7% - -
30 KIM Joshua 16% 38% 31% 12% 2% -
31 PANE Patrick 2% 24% 47% 23% 4% -
32 LUNDEN Espen 55% 37% 7% 1% - - -
33 MONTESI Eric 1% 7% 25% 37% 25% 6%
34 ANDERSON Dean 2% 14% 32% 33% 15% 3%
35 FEAGIN Patrick 3% 18% 38% 31% 8% 1% -
36 MOORE Mary 8% 40% 37% 13% 2% - -
37 SAAL Anna 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
38 SONVICO Jeremy 10% 38% 40% 11% 1% - -
39 SINGH Jawand - 5% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1%
40 BADLANI Neel 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% -
41 BARTLETT Lauren 27% 43% 24% 6% 1% -
42 EVANS George 70% 26% 4% - - -
43 MCDOWELL Finn 20% 48% 28% 3% - -
44 KARASICK Andrew 12% 41% 33% 11% 2% - -
45 COVITZ Ashley A. 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
46 WALKER Joseph 29% 43% 23% 5% - - -
47 BARBER Christopher 5% 24% 41% 24% 6% 1% -
48 GRESHAM Sarah L. 1% 15% 35% 33% 14% 2%
49 TANG Justin 18% 45% 30% 6% - -
50 KEIM Spencer 6% 39% 42% 12% 1% - -
51 ROUADY Ryan 32% 46% 20% 2% - -
52 SALAM Siam 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.