Troy Cullen Memorial Halloween Open (W&M)

Div III Mixed Foil

Sunday, November 5, 2023 at 1:00 PM

William & Mary Adair Gym - Williamsburg, VA, USA

Results

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Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.

# Name Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * Pool Victories
Pool DE Exp. Act. Diff.
1 GUMPRICH Joe P. V V V V V V V V V 4.2 5 +0.8
2 HINDS David E. V V V V D V V V V V D 5.0 5 -
3 PRICE Owen D V V V V V V V V D 4.4 5 +0.6
3 FORMY DUVAL Christopher V V V V V D V V V D 4.5 5 +0.5
5 MOORHOUSE Emmett V V V V V V V V D 4.6 6 +1.4
6 AZIZI Zahl V V V V V V V V D 3.6 6 +2.4
7 SOPHRONIUS Jeddie V V V V V V V V D 3.9 6 +2.1
8 REEDER Nicholas W. V V V V V V V 3.1 5 +1.9
9 LEE Ethan V V V V D V V D 3.7 5 +1.3
10 DELANNES-MOLKA Daniel V V V V D V V D 4.2 5 +0.8
11 CARTER Austin L. V D V V V V D 4.5 4 -0.5
12 OTT James (Jimmy) P. V D D V V V V D 5.3 4 -1.3
13 MITCHELL Christopher V V V D V D V D 5.1 4 -1.1
14 DAVIS Jack V V V D D V D 3.1 3 -0.1
15 MAHNKEN Thomas P. V D V V D V D 2.1 3 +0.9
16 RAUSCHER Ryan V D D V V D V D 3.8 3 -0.8
17 IVATURI Sivakrishna V D V V D V D 3.6 4 +0.4
18 PISTONE Leah V V D D V V D 1.7 4 +2.3
19 EDRALIN II Chadwick Q. D V D V V D 2.2 3 +0.8
20 LAU-ALLEN Macy D V V V D D 1.6 3 +1.4
21 INGLE Kate D V V V D D D 3.5 3 -0.5
22 DEVINNEY Dale D D V D V V D 2.2 3 +0.8
23 MAHNKEN Thomas G. V V D D D V D 3.4 3 -0.4
24 BAILEY Linwood V D D V V D D 1.0 3 +2.0
25 RYAN Sean V V D D D V D 1.7 2 +0.3
26 LEE Hans D D D D V V V D 3.4 2 -1.4
27 EDELMAN Catherine V V D D D D V D 1.1 2 +0.9
28 WHITE Myles D D D D V V D 2.1 1 -1.1
29 ROUNTREE Andrew D D V D D D V D 1.8 1 -0.8
30 LEE Sophia D D V D D D V D 1.4 1 -0.4
31 GIBSON Karino D D D D V D V D 0.9 1 +0.1
32 KASPER Lucia D D D D D V D 1.2 0 -1.2
33 BAYLESS Varnum D D D D V D 2.1 1 -1.1
34 ALLEN Lily D D D V D D D 1.1 1 -0.1
35 NALLA Sai Krishna D D D D V D D 2.9 1 -1.9
36 SALAM Siam D D D D D V D 3.0 1 -2.0
37 STEFFENSEN Lily D D D D D D 2.1 0 -2.1
38 ETIKYALA NIKHILA D D D D D D D 1.4 0 -1.4
39 WILLIAMS Morgan D D D D D D D 1.4 0 -1.4
40 TOMHAVE Aidan D D D D D D D 1.9 0 -1.9

Legend

Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).

Color Outcome Opponent's Difficulty Probability of Victory
Victory Very Hard 0% to 20%
Victory Hard 20% to 40%
Victory Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Victory Easy 60% to 80%
Victory Very Easy 80% to 100%
Defeat Very Hard 0% to 20%
Defeat Hard 20% to 40%
Defeat Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Defeat Easy 60% to 80%
Defeat Very Easy 80% to 100%

Explanation

The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:

This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.