Troy Cullen Memorial Halloween Open (W&M)

Div III Mixed Foil

Sunday, November 5, 2023 at 1:00 PM

William & Mary Adair Gym - Williamsburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GUMPRICH Joe P. - - 2% 15% 41% 42%
2 HINDS David E. - - - 4% 20% 43% 32%
3 PRICE Owen - - - 13% 42% 37% 8%
3 FORMY DUVAL Christopher - - 3% 14% 31% 35% 16%
5 MOORHOUSE Emmett - - - 7% 35% 49% 10%
6 AZIZI Zahl - 1% 9% 35% 37% 15% 2%
7 SOPHRONIUS Jeddie - 2% 9% 25% 35% 23% 6%
8 REEDER Nicholas W. - 4% 20% 42% 30% 3%
9 LEE Ethan - - 4% 38% 41% 15% 2%
10 DELANNES-MOLKA Daniel - - 3% 18% 41% 30% 7%
11 CARTER Austin L. - - 1% 7% 34% 58%
12 OTT James (Jimmy) P. - - - 1% 11% 40% 48%
13 MITCHELL Christopher - - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
14 DAVIS Jack - 3% 20% 41% 30% 6%
15 MAHNKEN Thomas P. 1% 21% 46% 28% 4% -
16 RAUSCHER Ryan - 1% 9% 27% 37% 21% 4%
17 IVATURI Sivakrishna - 3% 13% 30% 34% 17% 3%
18 PISTONE Leah 6% 38% 39% 14% 2% - -
19 EDRALIN II Chadwick Q. 4% 21% 39% 28% 7% 1%
20 LAU-ALLEN Macy 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% -
21 INGLE Kate - 1% 10% 35% 43% 11% 1%
22 DEVINNEY Dale 2% 20% 40% 28% 8% 1% -
23 MAHNKEN Thomas G. - 2% 15% 37% 34% 11% 1%
24 BAILEY Linwood 31% 43% 21% 5% - - -
25 RYAN Sean 9% 33% 39% 17% 3% -
26 LEE Hans - 1% 10% 50% 32% 6% -
27 EDELMAN Catherine 21% 50% 25% 4% - - -
28 WHITE Myles 5% 22% 37% 28% 8% -
29 ROUNTREE Andrew 8% 31% 37% 19% 5% 1% -
30 LEE Sophia 12% 42% 39% 7% - - -
31 GIBSON Karino 33% 45% 19% 2% - - -
32 KASPER Lucia 24% 42% 26% 7% 1% -
33 BAYLESS Varnum 4% 23% 40% 27% 5% -
34 ALLEN Lily 22% 45% 28% 5% - - -
35 NALLA Sai Krishna 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
36 SALAM Siam 1% 8% 24% 33% 24% 8% 1%
37 STEFFENSEN Lily 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
38 ETIKYALA NIKHILA 18% 37% 30% 12% 2% - -
39 WILLIAMS Morgan 15% 44% 34% 7% 1% - -
40 TOMHAVE Aidan 3% 26% 48% 21% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.