The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
Maria Panyi (1), Andrey Geva (2), Igor Chirashnya (3), and Sue Moheb (4).

November NAC

Y-14 Men's Saber

Monday, November 13, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Fort Worth Convention Center - Fort Worth, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 NG Jonathan - - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
2 HUANG Alex F. - - - - 5% 32% 63%
3 KANG Evan R. - - - 2% 13% 40% 44%
3 KIM ELIJAH - - - 2% 13% 41% 44%
5 PASTORE LIU Vince - - - 1% 11% 39% 49%
6 SO Preston - 1% 10% 32% 41% 16%
7 HOLZ Lucas - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
8 CHAN Henry 1% 12% 36% 36% 13% 2%
9 MEHAN Nicholas - - - 1% 8% 35% 57%
10 WANG Justin - - - 1% 7% 35% 57%
11 GONZALEZ Jake - 5% 23% 39% 27% 5%
12 KOVALEV Daniil N. - - - 4% 20% 49% 27%
13 WANG Daniel - - - 2% 15% 42% 40%
14 CHUNG Connor - - 4% 20% 43% 32%
15 NGO Maximus - 5% 24% 43% 24% 4%
16 BELL III Alfred (Tripp) R. - - 1% 12% 40% 39% 8%
17 ANDRES Michael - - 1% 9% 27% 40% 23%
18 JOO Jeein - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 30%
19 WONG Lucas - 2% 15% 38% 35% 10%
20 KIM Ethan - - 1% 13% 43% 43%
21 VAID Luke - - 1% 5% 20% 41% 33%
22 LIN Philip T. - - 2% 13% 34% 38% 12%
23 LI Ayden - - 3% 15% 36% 37% 8%
24 LI Maxwell - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
25 LIU Kevin - - 1% 6% 23% 41% 29%
26 HENDERSON Lucas 2% 19% 38% 30% 9% 1%
27 TSE Aiden J - 4% 20% 40% 29% 7%
28 KIM Kendrick - 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3%
29 ANAND Rishab - 5% 21% 34% 28% 11% 1%
30 TANI Tino - 1% 5% 21% 38% 30% 7%
31 LIU Victor - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
32 CHAMBERS Miles - 1% 5% 20% 37% 29% 8%
33 CHON Collin - - 2% 13% 39% 45%
34 URSU Marcel T. - - 2% 13% 34% 39% 12%
35 IYER Neil - 10% 32% 37% 18% 4% -
36 SAMMI Mukul 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
37 ERMAKOV Semeon - - 1% 9% 37% 53%
38 CARRINGTON IV William T. - 2% 15% 37% 35% 10%
39 BIVIJI Ali 1% 12% 33% 36% 16% 2%
40 HWANG Jayden - - - 2% 15% 45% 38%
41 GUREVICH Benjamin - 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1%
42 STURGEON Cole - 3% 16% 33% 33% 13% 2%
42 WANG Max - 5% 21% 37% 27% 8% 1%
44 KWON Kenneth - 7% 26% 38% 23% 6% -
44 ZLATINSKI Jason 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4% -
46 XU Ivan 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
47 LIU Ryan 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
48 LIN Maxim - - 3% 18% 43% 35%
49 ZHAO Lucas - 1% 7% 30% 45% 17%
50 KOZLOFF Wyatt 2% 14% 32% 33% 15% 2% -
51 GONG Gavin 2% 16% 38% 34% 10% 1% -
52 BOSITA Brennan 8% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
53 XUE Leo 2% 16% 35% 31% 13% 2% -
54 BONETTI Brayden - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 6%
55 SANGSTER Arden 5% 24% 38% 25% 8% 1% -
56 WANG Alex 1% 8% 27% 38% 21% 5% -
57 YANG Phillip - - 3% 17% 37% 34% 9%
57 PEREIRA Beckham 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 7% 1%
59 CAUTHRON Oliver 2% 16% 37% 32% 12% 2% -
60 MCDONALD Finn 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
61 MATTOO Deven 1% 7% 25% 38% 25% 5%
62 GREMILLION Obadiah - 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2%
63 SASSI Ilyas 2% 13% 30% 32% 18% 4% -
64 YAP Kah Kai (Cayden) - 2% 13% 34% 38% 13%
65 MEYERSON Jacob - - 2% 16% 44% 33% 5%
66 GAY Jono - - 3% 15% 37% 36% 9%
67 SADHU Neiyam 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
68 CAO Oliver 2% 11% 29% 34% 19% 4% -
69 LEE Andrew - 2% 13% 31% 34% 16% 3%
70 PORTER Dupree - 5% 19% 36% 30% 9% 1%
71 FANG Eason 1% 12% 32% 36% 16% 2%
72 WAXLER Ryan - 1% 12% 35% 38% 13%
73 NARDINI Nathanael P. - - 5% 23% 44% 28%
74 LOO Jason 2% 12% 30% 34% 19% 4%
75 TURNER Benjamin 19% 39% 30% 11% 2% -
76 SHA Walter 3% 19% 41% 29% 8% 1%
77 WANG Zhuoyi - - 4% 22% 44% 30%
78 AO Christopher 1% 9% 28% 36% 20% 5% -
79 VUONG Kyle Ka-Him - 5% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1%
80 NAMBIAR Navin 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2% -
81 LIU Aaron - 1% 9% 28% 39% 20% 3%
82 ZHAO Royce - 2% 13% 31% 35% 17% 2%
83 MEDVINSKY Daniel - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3%
84 SUN Andrew 1% 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% -
85 CHEN Kevin - 2% 10% 28% 36% 20% 3%
86 KITSON Chase 4% 21% 40% 27% 7% 1%
87 ZHANG Kaixuan 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
88 MINASIAN Mason 11% 43% 34% 11% 1% -
89 KETT Richard 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% -
90 BRIMMER Robert (Trey) 2% 15% 35% 34% 13% 1%
91 VO Landon 7% 31% 41% 18% 3% -
92 LIU Daniel 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% -
93 WANG Max - 6% 27% 40% 22% 4%
94 DAWSON-TEECE Powell 3% 24% 40% 26% 7% 1%
95 SUNG Julian 3% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2% -
96 KOVACHEV Martin 2% 18% 36% 30% 11% 2% -
97 LEE Brady 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
98 CHA James 5% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
99 WONG David 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
100 FENG Brendan 5% 26% 38% 24% 7% 1% -
101 MORGAN Abrahm H. 1% 11% 30% 34% 18% 5% -
102 ZHU Matthew 13% 38% 35% 12% 1% - -
103 BARENBOYM Michael 6% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1% -
104 KURILO Michael 7% 30% 38% 20% 5% 1% -
105 ONG Dylan 4% 19% 36% 30% 11% 1%
106 COGLIANO Max 26% 45% 24% 5% - -
107 BREUER Daniel 19% 43% 29% 8% 1% -
108 SMITH William 34% 45% 18% 3% - -
109 DAI Zihou 2% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4%
110 RINALDI Savio 23% 43% 26% 7% 1% -
111 LIEBOWITZ Carson 30% 45% 21% 4% - -
112 WANG tiger 24% 40% 26% 8% 1% - -
113 GORDON Samuel 7% 26% 36% 23% 6% 1% -
114 MEADE Liam R. 1% 11% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
115 LEMERY Marc 22% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
116 WANG Tiger - 5% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2%
117 GRABOWSKI Alexander 11% 32% 35% 18% 4% - -
118 OH Aster - 2% 14% 31% 33% 17% 3%
118 EPLETT Nicholas 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
118 BOLLU Viren 3% 23% 42% 26% 5% - -
121 JI Johnson 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
122 FIROOZI Sam 44% 41% 13% 2% - - -
123 CHI Everett 8% 29% 37% 21% 5% -
124 HUANG Caleb 22% 44% 27% 6% - -
125 ROH Jaden 60% 33% 7% 1% - -
126 SIDDAMSHETTY Ishaan 39% 41% 16% 3% - - -
127 XIA Matthew 18% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
128 JOUFFLINEAU Yohann 19% 41% 30% 9% 1% -
129 REILLEY Brogan 80% 18% 2% - - - -
130 GU Kevin 35% 42% 19% 4% - - -
131 SAYAR Luke 1% 25% 40% 25% 7% 1% -
131 KEMP Austin 36% 44% 17% 3% - - -
133 LIU Guanyu 58% 35% 7% 1% - -
134 GRABOWSKI Stanley 11% 39% 35% 13% 2% - -
135 SENTHIL Gatik 86% 13% 1% - - - -
136 WANG Brian 24% 48% 24% 4% - -
137 NGUYEN Dylan 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
138 SANTIAGO Roman 38% 42% 17% 3% - - -
139 DIXON Allan 61% 32% 6% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.