2023 Bourbon Open

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, November 18, 2023 at 9:00 AM

Louisville, KY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MANAUGH Guy 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 29%
2 BETTS Jr Anthony P. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 29% 5%
3 DWITYABASWARA Emil 100% 100% 99% 81% 33% 6% < 1%
3 REDEMANN Shawn 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
5 TURNER Joshua 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 71%
6 EDWARDS Tim 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
7 FULLER II Thomas 100% 98% 68% 26% 5% - -
8 MCNARY Sean 100% 98% 80% 39% 8% -
9 THARP Jayden 100% 42% 8% 1% - -
10 CRAFT David M. 100% 99% 79% 34% 5% -
11 TRAN John 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 18%
12 HABEGGER Alexander 100% 93% 64% 26% 6% 1% -
13 NEIDLINGER Robert H. 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 20% 2%
14 PIERCE Marcia M. 100% 98% 82% 46% 14% 1%
15 OAKES Scarlett 100% 78% 39% 11% 2% - -
16 PACK Josh 100% 95% 66% 25% 4% - -
17 KOENIGSKNECHT Julian 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2% -
18 WARD Andrew 100% 100% 96% 73% 29% 1%
19 GILL Anhad 100% 99% 81% 32% 5% - -
20 DURR Anna 100% 34% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.