Neil Lazar Div1A/Div2/Veteran ROC

Div II Women's Épée

Saturday, November 18, 2023 at 8:00 AM

NYA Sports and Fitness Center - Newtown, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIN Victoria T. - - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
2 ZHANG Michelle - - - 2% 16% 56% 27%
3 GANSER Nicole - 1% 5% 18% 35% 32% 9%
3 BI Michelle 5% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
5 LI Olivia - - 3% 14% 33% 35% 14%
6 MONOVA Lilyana - - 4% 17% 34% 32% 11%
7 WESER Veronica U. - - - - 6% 40% 54%
8 FLANIGAN KENDRA - - 3% 13% 33% 37% 14%
9 KAUR Manroop - 2% 10% 28% 35% 20% 4%
10 XIE Fiona 1% 5% 17% 31% 29% 14% 3%
11 PAN Angela - 2% 11% 26% 34% 21% 5%
12 SATO Elyse 12% 32% 33% 17% 5% 1% -
13 FENG Iris 1% 10% 31% 38% 17% 2% -
14 LOBANOVA Varvara 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
15 WILLIAMSON Beatrix - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 10%
16 FANG Kayla 1% 8% 26% 34% 23% 7% 1%
17 TRAN Helena - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
18 ZOU You yang (Yoyo) - 2% 9% 24% 34% 24% 7%
19 SKLAR Davida 3% 17% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
20 SEREGIN Katya - - 1% 8% 27% 40% 23%
21 WANG Sophie Y. 1% 10% 28% 34% 20% 6% 1%
22 HE Lizbeth 16% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
23 MCGEE Sophia - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 23%
24 COLELLA Lauren - 3% 14% 29% 32% 17% 4%
25 ZHANG ANGELA - 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4%
26 JONES Brenda - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
27 CHEN Alicia - 1% 8% 22% 34% 26% 8%
28 GIELEGHEM Klaire - 2% 12% 29% 34% 18% 4%
29 WROBEL Julia 9% 36% 36% 15% 3% - -
30 YU Eva 1% 5% 18% 34% 30% 11% 1%
31 TIBBETTS Lily 9% 28% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
32 GAVILANES Madyson 2% 10% 25% 32% 22% 8% 1%
33 CHEN Jingyun - - - 4% 19% 43% 34%
34 ETZEL Rowan - - - 4% 18% 42% 36%
35 PHUONG Elaine 1% 11% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
36 XENOPHONTOS Sophia - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
37 BAWA Jenya - 2% 10% 28% 35% 21% 4%
38 VENKATESAN Harshitha 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
39 SHAYAKHMETOVA Suzanna 1% 9% 24% 33% 24% 9% 1%
40 CONNOLLY Natasha 4% 22% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
41 PARSONS Leada - 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 5%
42 SHABBIR Aiza 40% 41% 16% 3% - - -
43 KWON Elise 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 8% 1%
44 GEFFNER Olivia 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% - -
45 BISONO Valentina 4% 19% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
46 CROWDER Julia 2% 17% 35% 30% 12% 3% -
47 LI Yixin Catherine 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
48 REISNER Gabriella 18% 40% 31% 10% 1% - -
49 THOMAS Meagan R. 1% 5% 20% 34% 29% 10% 1%
50 PHELAN Gabrielle 11% 31% 33% 18% 5% 1% -
51 SANLIKOL Suzan 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
52 SIZER Courtney 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 2% -
53 MASTRONARDI Laura - 4% 18% 39% 33% 6% -
54 DENG Joy 16% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
55 MILLER Cassandra 7% 31% 38% 19% 5% 1% -
56 ZHENG Erin 14% 37% 34% 13% 2% - -
57 ALDORT Isabel - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
58 MURPHY Megan 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
59 DUNNE Jessica 7% 26% 34% 23% 8% 2% -
60 LEE Hwaeun 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5% -
61 HO Gillian 9% 32% 38% 18% 3% - -
62 GORTI Aadya 46% 39% 13% 2% - - -
63 BLANCHARD Remy 50% 38% 11% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.