Neil Lazar Div1A/Div2/Veteran ROC

Div II Women's Épée

Saturday, November 18, 2023 at 8:00 AM

NYA Sports and Fitness Center - Newtown, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIN Victoria T. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
2 ZHANG Michelle 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 27%
3 GANSER Nicole 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 41% 9%
3 BI Michelle 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
5 LI Olivia 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
6 MONOVA Lilyana 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 11%
7 WESER Veronica U. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 54%
8 FLANIGAN KENDRA 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 14%
9 KAUR Manroop 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 4%
10 XIE Fiona 100% 99% 94% 77% 46% 17% 3%
11 PAN Angela 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 5%
12 SATO Elyse 100% 88% 56% 23% 5% 1% -
13 FENG Iris 100% 99% 88% 57% 19% 2% -
14 LOBANOVA Varvara 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 2% -
15 WILLIAMSON Beatrix 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 10%
16 FANG Kayla 100% 99% 91% 65% 31% 8% 1%
17 TRAN Helena 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 14%
18 ZOU You yang (Yoyo) 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 31% 7%
19 SKLAR Davida 100% 97% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
20 SEREGIN Katya 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 23%
21 WANG Sophie Y. 100% 99% 89% 60% 26% 6% 1%
22 HE Lizbeth 100% 84% 49% 17% 3% - -
23 MCGEE Sophia 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 23%
24 COLELLA Lauren 100% 100% 96% 82% 53% 21% 4%
25 ZHANG ANGELA 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4%
26 JONES Brenda 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 19% 3%
27 CHEN Alicia 100% 100% 98% 90% 68% 34% 8%
28 GIELEGHEM Klaire 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 22% 4%
29 WROBEL Julia 100% 91% 54% 19% 4% - -
30 YU Eva 100% 99% 95% 76% 43% 13% 1%
31 TIBBETTS Lily 100% 91% 63% 29% 8% 1% -
32 GAVILANES Madyson 100% 98% 89% 64% 31% 9% 1%
33 CHEN Jingyun 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
34 ETZEL Rowan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
35 PHUONG Elaine 100% 99% 87% 57% 23% 5% -
36 XENOPHONTOS Sophia 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 11%
37 BAWA Jenya 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 25% 4%
38 VENKATESAN Harshitha 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
39 SHAYAKHMETOVA Suzanna 100% 99% 90% 66% 34% 10% 1%
40 CONNOLLY Natasha 100% 96% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
41 PARSONS Leada 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 5%
42 SHABBIR Aiza 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -
43 KWON Elise 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 9% 1%
44 GEFFNER Olivia 100% 85% 50% 18% 3% - -
45 BISONO Valentina 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
46 CROWDER Julia 100% 98% 80% 45% 15% 3% -
47 LI Yixin Catherine 100% 96% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
48 REISNER Gabriella 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% - -
49 THOMAS Meagan R. 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 11% 1%
50 PHELAN Gabrielle 100% 89% 58% 25% 6% 1% -
51 SANLIKOL Suzan 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
52 SIZER Courtney 100% 94% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
53 MASTRONARDI Laura 100% 100% 96% 78% 39% 6% -
54 DENG Joy 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -
55 MILLER Cassandra 100% 93% 63% 24% 5% 1% -
56 ZHENG Erin 100% 86% 48% 14% 2% - -
57 ALDORT Isabel 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 15% 2%
58 MURPHY Megan 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
59 DUNNE Jessica 100% 93% 67% 33% 10% 2% -
60 LEE Hwaeun 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 6% -
61 HO Gillian 100% 91% 59% 21% 3% - -
62 GORTI Aadya 100% 54% 15% 2% - - -
63 BLANCHARD Remy 100% 50% 12% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.