Neil Lazar Div1A/Div2/Veteran ROC

Div I-A Women's Saber

Saturday, November 18, 2023 at 10:30 AM

NYA Sports and Fitness Center - Newtown, CT, USA

Results

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Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.

# Name Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * Pool Victories
Pool DE Exp. Act. Diff.
1 DRAGON Rainer V V V V V V V V V V V 5.6 6 +0.4
2 MELNYCHUK Yelyzaveta V V V V V D V V V V D 5.8 5 -0.8
3 MANSPERGER Leena V D D V V V V V D 3.9 3 -0.9
3 HU Anna V D V V V V V V V D 3.5 5 +1.5
5 SCOTT Eve V V V V D V V D 3.7 4 +0.3
6 LI Sonia V V V D V D V V D 2.2 4 +1.8
7 KHOST Maeve V D V V V D V V D 1.6 4 +2.4
8 CHIANG Melissa V V D D V V V D 3.0 3 -
9 BIRNSTILL Reese V V V V V V D 2.4 5 +2.6
10 VINOKUR Anita V V V V V V D 2.5 5 +2.5
11 ZHANG Sophie V V V D V V D 3.5 4 +0.5
12 GOMERMAN Sophia D V D V V V V D 3.9 4 +0.1
13 WANG Elysia V D D V V V V D 3.9 4 +0.1
14 LOO Kaitlyn V V V D D V D 3.1 3 -0.1
15 SCHAIBLE Sofia L. D D D V V V D 3.3 2 -1.3
16 KANDADAI Lara D D D V D V V D 2.7 1 -1.7
17 YOUNG Audrey V V V V V D 2.3 5 +2.7
18 JOHNSTON Lily D V V V V D 3.3 4 +0.7
19 DEMING Clare L. V D V V D D 4.3 3 -1.3
20 LEUNG Ashlyn K. D V V V D D 2.4 3 +0.6
21 ZHANG Chenfei V D V D V D 3.7 3 -0.7
22 YEN Natalie V D V V D D 2.8 3 +0.2
23 BORGUETA Madison D V V V D D D 1.7 3 +1.3
24 MAK Kaitlin D D D V V D 1.5 2 +0.5
25 SHINCHUK Ellisha V D D D V D 3.1 2 -1.1
26 BROWN Aria D V D D V D 1.2 2 +0.8
27 NAYAK Esha D V V D D D 2.8 2 -0.8
28 MANI Francesca B. V D D D V D V D 2.8 2 -0.8
29 GUHA Surabhi D V D D D V D 1.2 1 -0.2
30 ZHANG Ruijia Alexa D D D D D D V D 2.8 0 -2.8
31 SRINATH Lyra A. D D D D D V D 1.4 0 -1.4
32 MAROSFOI Virag D D D D D D V D 0.7 0 -0.7
33 BARNES Sarah V D D D D V D 0.6 2 +1.4
34 NAYAK Anika D V D D D V D 2.7 2 -0.7
35 SIERRA Kate D D D V D D D 4.3 1 -3.3
36 GETZONI Mary D D D D D D 0.3 0 -0.3
37 SHELLEY Scarlett D D D D D D 0.7 0 -0.7
38 MACKAY Katherine D D D D D D 1.2 0 -1.2

Legend

Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).

Color Outcome Opponent's Difficulty Probability of Victory
Victory Very Hard 0% to 20%
Victory Hard 20% to 40%
Victory Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Victory Easy 60% to 80%
Victory Very Easy 80% to 100%
Defeat Very Hard 0% to 20%
Defeat Hard 20% to 40%
Defeat Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Defeat Easy 60% to 80%
Defeat Very Easy 80% to 100%

Explanation

The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:

This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.