Neil Lazar Div1A/Div2/Veteran ROC

Div I-A Women's Saber

Saturday, November 18, 2023 at 10:30 AM

NYA Sports and Fitness Center - Newtown, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DRAGON Rainer - - - - 5% 31% 64%
2 MELNYCHUK Yelyzaveta - - - - 2% 21% 77%
3 MANSPERGER Leena - - 5% 25% 44% 25%
3 HU Anna - 2% 14% 34% 36% 14% 1%
5 SCOTT Eve - 1% 9% 29% 41% 20%
6 LI Sonia 3% 20% 40% 29% 8% 1% -
7 KHOST Maeve 10% 37% 37% 14% 2% - -
8 CHIANG Melissa - 5% 22% 39% 28% 6%
9 BIRNSTILL Reese 3% 17% 36% 32% 11% 1%
10 VINOKUR Anita 2% 15% 34% 32% 14% 2%
11 ZHANG Sophie - 1% 11% 35% 39% 14%
12 GOMERMAN Sophia - 1% 7% 25% 40% 25% 3%
13 WANG Elysia - 1% 7% 26% 41% 22% 3%
14 LOO Kaitlyn - 6% 22% 36% 28% 8%
15 SCHAIBLE Sofia L. - 4% 18% 35% 32% 11%
16 KANDADAI Lara 1% 11% 31% 37% 18% 3%
17 YOUNG Audrey 3% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1%
18 JOHNSTON Lily - 2% 16% 39% 34% 9%
19 DEMING Clare L. - - 2% 13% 40% 46%
20 LEUNG Ashlyn K. 2% 17% 35% 31% 13% 2%
21 ZHANG Chenfei - 1% 9% 29% 41% 20%
22 YEN Natalie - 6% 33% 40% 18% 3%
23 BORGUETA Madison 8% 34% 37% 17% 3% - -
24 MAK Kaitlin 15% 39% 33% 12% 2% -
25 SHINCHUK Ellisha - 6% 22% 36% 28% 8%
26 BROWN Aria 24% 42% 26% 7% 1% -
27 NAYAK Esha 1% 9% 29% 38% 20% 3%
28 MANI Francesca B. 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4% -
29 GUHA Surabhi 14% 57% 25% 4% - -
30 ZHANG Ruijia Alexa 1% 9% 30% 37% 19% 4% -
31 SRINATH Lyra A. 18% 41% 30% 10% 1% -
32 MAROSFOI Virag 44% 41% 14% 2% - - -
33 BARNES Sarah 52% 38% 9% 1% - - -
34 NAYAK Anika 1% 10% 31% 38% 17% 3% -
35 SIERRA Kate - < 1% 2% 14% 40% 38% 6%
36 GETZONI Mary 72% 26% 2% - - -
37 SHELLEY Scarlett 50% 38% 11% 2% - -
38 MACKAY Katherine 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.