Thanksgiving Throwdown

Div II Mixed Foil

Saturday, November 18, 2023 at 9:30 AM

Richmond Fencing Club, Richmond VA - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KLYCZEK Andrew - - 1% 11% 37% 43% 8%
2 SIDES Nathaniel S. - 1% 7% 26% 38% 23% 5%
3 SHANKS Aidan T. - 4% 19% 34% 30% 11% 1%
3 GALEMORE Jonathan - 1% 5% 21% 37% 28% 7%
5 O'DONNELL Breck - - - 2% 13% 39% 46%
6 GUMPRICH Joe P. - - 1% 6% 26% 43% 25%
7 PRICE Owen - 1% 7% 29% 43% 19% 2%
8 HEADRICK Lance - 1% 6% 18% 33% 31% 12%
9 SEMP Iain 1% 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% -
10 SMIGRODZKI Nymeria - 2% 13% 35% 34% 14% 2%
11 OTT James (Jimmy) P. - 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
12 MOREY Zachary D. - 5% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1%
13 BAYLESS Varnum 29% 47% 20% 4% - - -
14 HARPER Wesley 32% 42% 21% 5% - - -
15 FORMY DUVAL Christopher - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 3%
16 SEMP Brannon A. 9% 34% 36% 16% 4% - -
17 ROUNTREE Andrew 45% 41% 13% 2% - - -
18 MITCHELL Christopher 7% 28% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
19 BARTON Henry 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
20 SHANKS Jennifer 29% 47% 21% 2% - - -
21 DESVERNINE William 2% 15% 36% 32% 13% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.