Thanksgiving Throwdown

Div II Mixed Foil

Saturday, November 18, 2023 at 9:30 AM

Richmond Fencing Club, Richmond VA - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KLYCZEK Andrew 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 51% 8%
2 SIDES Nathaniel S. 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5%
3 SHANKS Aidan T. 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 12% 1%
3 GALEMORE Jonathan 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 7%
5 O'DONNELL Breck 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
6 GUMPRICH Joe P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
7 PRICE Owen 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 21% 2%
8 HEADRICK Lance 100% 100% 99% 93% 75% 42% 12%
9 SEMP Iain 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6% -
10 SMIGRODZKI Nymeria 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 16% 2%
11 OTT James (Jimmy) P. 100% 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1%
12 MOREY Zachary D. 100% 100% 94% 73% 38% 10% 1%
13 BAYLESS Varnum 100% 71% 24% 4% - - -
14 HARPER Wesley 100% 68% 26% 5% - - -
15 FORMY DUVAL Christopher 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 23% 3%
16 SEMP Brannon A. 100% 91% 57% 21% 4% - -
17 ROUNTREE Andrew 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
18 MITCHELL Christopher 100% 93% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
19 BARTON Henry 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
20 SHANKS Jennifer 100% 71% 24% 2% - - -
21 DESVERNINE William 100% 98% 83% 47% 15% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.