Thanksgiving Throwdown

Div III Mixed Épée

Saturday, November 18, 2023 at 12:00 PM

Richmond Fencing Club, Richmond VA - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 SHOWALTER Zachary - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 23%
2 MILLSON Daniel - 2% 14% 34% 34% 15% 2%
3 PALAMARCHUK Andriy - - 2% 15% 35% 35% 12%
3 WALLACE George - - 1% 11% 33% 39% 16%
5 ANDERSON Dean - 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6% -
6 WATSON Raymond - - 1% 6% 19% 34% 30% 11%
7 HEADRICK Jack 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 4% -
8 CAMPBELL Paul - - 1% 8% 23% 35% 25% 7%
9 ZIMSKY James - 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
10 SEMP Iain 4% 18% 34% 29% 13% 3% -
11 HERMES Henry - 1% 9% 26% 36% 22% 5%
12 KARNAVAS William - - 6% 23% 36% 25% 8% 1%
13 GUMPRICH Joe P. - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 5%
14 MARKOWITZ Sam - 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 5%
15 NANAYAKKARA Sanuthi 49% 38% 11% 1% - - - -
16 AUSTIN Truman 1% 8% 32% 44% 14% 1% -
17 NANAYAKKARA Damin 12% 53% 28% 6% 1% - -
18 AVILA Heru - 2% 10% 24% 32% 23% 8% 1%
19 KARASICK Andrew 9% 30% 35% 20% 5% 1% -
20 LAND Evan 5% 59% 30% 6% 1% - - -
21 HAVERSON Civa 47% 39% 12% 2% - - -
22 LOTT Matt 7% 33% 38% 18% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.