8th Annual Orange & Blue

Div II Mixed Saber

Saturday, November 18, 2023 at 3:30 PM

Alachua County Sports Complex at Celebration Point - Gainesville, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DELARUE Nelson - - - 3% 18% 45% 34%
2 DUPREE Thomas - - - 6% 27% 45% 21%
3 ORTEGA Jose-Arnel - - 3% 17% 43% 38%
3 MORELAND Jack - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
5 BALLOU Johnathan - - - 1% 13% 43% 43%
6 YADAV Lakshya - - 3% 18% 42% 31% 6%
7 JAYARAM Archita - 1% 10% 34% 37% 16% 2%
8 SWEARINGER Ryland - 2% 15% 40% 35% 7%
9 GUREVICH Savely - 3% 14% 33% 35% 15%
10 WI James - 6% 28% 42% 20% 3%
11 SEOL Brian - - 1% 4% 19% 41% 35%
12 BROWN Olivia - 1% 9% 30% 41% 19%
13 GLEASON Sean - - 5% 26% 43% 24% 3%
15 CROSBY Timothy - 3% 12% 28% 33% 20% 5%
16 RAKAJ Jozef - - 2% 14% 35% 37% 11%
17 PROUDNIK Anthony - - 6% 26% 44% 24%
18 ADIBZADEH Mehrdad - 1% 7% 28% 43% 21%
19 WOLF Gabriel - 1% 8% 32% 42% 17%
20 TROEH Christopher 2% 17% 41% 31% 9% 1%
21 JANES Cole 1% 7% 26% 38% 23% 5%
22 RODDENBERRY Steven - 1% 6% 23% 38% 26% 6%
23 BAINO Lorenzo 1% 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1%
24 CASTILLO Carlos 6% 30% 37% 20% 5% 1% -
25 THACKERAY Caden - 6% 26% 39% 24% 5%
26 BOWMAN Tamara 1% 11% 29% 35% 20% 4%
27 LOPEZ Lincoln 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
28 HAYES David - - 2% 13% 37% 37% 10%
29 AKULOVA Kat 3% 19% 38% 29% 9% 1% -
30 TORO Diego 17% 40% 32% 10% 1% -
31 FREEDMAN Alexander - 5% 24% 41% 25% 4%
32 NAWAZ Taimoor 4% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2%
33 CEBALLOS Marcus (Micaiah) - 3% 13% 30% 33% 17% 3%
34 STEWART Logan 3% 26% 51% 18% 2% - -
35 JASPER Jordan 2% 13% 32% 35% 17% 3%
36 SACKMAN Bodhisattva 13% 43% 33% 10% 1% -
37 RYAN Alyssa 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% -
38 MOTTLAU Maddox 1% 13% 42% 33% 10% 1% -
39 PENNER Charlie 1% 16% 47% 30% 7% - -
40 OESTE Kevin 2% 19% 37% 29% 11% 2% -
41 HIRSCH Nicholas - 3% 15% 35% 35% 12%
42 HOLMES Kaley 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% -
42 POOLE Kiley 51% 38% 10% 1% - -
44 CURTIS Kevin 1% 40% 42% 15% 2% -
45 LOZITO Matthew - 2% 15% 40% 38% 4%
46 BAUBLITZ Aidan 13% 44% 36% 7% - -
47 BLESSING Katherine 2% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
48 GORDON Jack 1% 7% 28% 41% 20% 3% -
49 MILLER SACKMAN Anita 11% 38% 34% 14% 3% - -
50 MEDINA Sophia 80% 18% 1% - - - -
51 NGUYEN Albert 33% 47% 17% 3% - -
52 ESMER Ekin 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% -
53 KAMAL Aidan 4% 19% 35% 30% 11% 1%
54 POND Verity 15% 52% 27% 5% - - -
55 KRAMER Peter 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 3% -
56 VALENCIAGA Sophia 33% 45% 19% 3% - -
57 PELLETIER Skylar 60% 32% 7% 1% - - -
58 KUPCHA McKenna 5% 53% 34% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.