8th Annual Orange & Blue

Div II Mixed Saber

Saturday, November 18, 2023 at 3:30 PM

Alachua County Sports Complex at Celebration Point - Gainesville, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DELARUE Nelson 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 34%
2 DUPREE Thomas 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 21%
3 ORTEGA Jose-Arnel 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
3 MORELAND Jack 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
5 BALLOU Johnathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 43%
6 YADAV Lakshya 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 37% 6%
7 JAYARAM Archita 100% 100% 99% 89% 55% 18% 2%
8 SWEARINGER Ryland 100% 100% 98% 82% 42% 7%
9 GUREVICH Savely 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 15%
10 WI James 100% 100% 94% 66% 23% 3%
11 SEOL Brian 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 35%
12 BROWN Olivia 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 19%
13 GLEASON Sean 100% 100% 100% 95% 69% 27% 3%
15 CROSBY Timothy 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 24% 5%
16 RAKAJ Jozef 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 48% 11%
17 PROUDNIK Anthony 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 24%
18 ADIBZADEH Mehrdad 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 21%
19 WOLF Gabriel 100% 100% 99% 91% 59% 17%
20 TROEH Christopher 100% 98% 81% 40% 9% 1%
21 JANES Cole 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5%
22 RODDENBERRY Steven 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6%
23 BAINO Lorenzo 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 6% 1%
24 CASTILLO Carlos 100% 94% 63% 26% 6% 1% -
25 THACKERAY Caden 100% 100% 93% 68% 28% 5%
26 BOWMAN Tamara 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 4%
27 LOPEZ Lincoln 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1%
28 HAYES David 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 47% 10%
29 AKULOVA Kat 100% 97% 78% 39% 11% 1% -
30 TORO Diego 100% 83% 43% 11% 1% -
31 FREEDMAN Alexander 100% 100% 95% 70% 29% 4%
32 NAWAZ Taimoor 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 2%
33 CEBALLOS Marcus (Micaiah) 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 21% 3%
34 STEWART Logan 100% 97% 71% 20% 2% - -
35 JASPER Jordan 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3%
36 SACKMAN Bodhisattva 100% 87% 44% 11% 1% -
37 RYAN Alyssa 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% -
38 MOTTLAU Maddox 100% 99% 86% 44% 11% 1% -
39 PENNER Charlie 100% 99% 83% 37% 7% 1% -
40 OESTE Kevin 100% 98% 79% 42% 13% 2% -
41 HIRSCH Nicholas 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
42 HOLMES Kaley 100% 85% 50% 17% 3% -
42 POOLE Kiley 100% 49% 10% 1% - -
44 CURTIS Kevin 100% 99% 59% 17% 2% -
45 LOZITO Matthew 100% 100% 98% 83% 43% 4%
46 BAUBLITZ Aidan 100% 87% 43% 7% - -
47 BLESSING Katherine 100% 98% 82% 49% 18% 4% -
48 GORDON Jack 100% 99% 92% 64% 23% 3% -
49 MILLER SACKMAN Anita 100% 89% 51% 17% 3% - -
50 MEDINA Sophia 100% 20% 1% - - - -
51 NGUYEN Albert 100% 67% 20% 3% - -
52 ESMER Ekin 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% -
53 KAMAL Aidan 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 1%
54 POND Verity 100% 85% 33% 6% - - -
55 KRAMER Peter 100% 98% 82% 48% 16% 3% -
56 VALENCIAGA Sophia 100% 67% 22% 3% - -
57 PELLETIER Skylar 100% 40% 7% 1% - - -
58 KUPCHA McKenna 100% 95% 42% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.