Neil Lazar Div1A/Div2/Veteran ROC

Div II Men's Saber

Sunday, November 19, 2023 at 12:00 PM

NYA Sports and Fitness Center - Newtown, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIN Steve - - 1% 5% 20% 42% 33%
2 KATZ Ryan - 1% 9% 29% 40% 21%
3 NOURELDIN Gabriel - - 1% 5% 20% 41% 33%
3 KIM ELIJAH - - - 3% 18% 43% 35%
5 AO Christopher 1% 10% 29% 35% 20% 5% < 1%
6 DUMOULIN Gabriel - 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 6%
7 TSAO Oliver - - 1% 11% 34% 40% 14%
8 CUSUMANO Neal - 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
9 WAXLER Seth B. - - - 3% 16% 41% 39%
9 BONDARENCO Vlad - - - 4% 20% 44% 32%
11 RODRIGUEZ Darlin - - - - 4% 28% 67%
12 HUFF Clayton R. 1% 10% 30% 36% 19% 5% -
13 RYAN Kai - 2% 12% 33% 37% 15% 2%
14 WAXLER Aaron M. - - 1% 6% 22% 42% 29%
15 SHINCHUK Daniel 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 8% 1%
16 UNG Kai - - 4% 17% 35% 33% 10%
17 FRANCOIS Alexander C. - - 1% 8% 26% 40% 25%
18 LIM Brandon - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
19 GONG zihao - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
20 LAUB William - 1% 6% 22% 35% 28% 8%
21 KOGAN Nikita - 2% 11% 30% 36% 19% 3%
22 WANG Weiyun - - 5% 25% 41% 24% 5%
23 SEN Christian 3% 19% 37% 29% 11% 2% -
24 DESAUTELS Connor 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
25 TERENTIEV Max - 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7%
26 CHENG Brandon - - 5% 20% 40% 30% 5%
27 MARGULIS Jared 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
28 DIMATTEO Michael - 2% 13% 30% 34% 18% 3%
29 HUROWITZ Max - 5% 20% 37% 29% 8%
30 HUANG Maxwell H. 3% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2%
31 PODDAR Shameek 9% 36% 36% 15% 3% - -
32 SADHU Neiyam 1% 7% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
33 BADUSHOV Anton - 1% 8% 27% 41% 22% 2%
34 TSAO Alister 4% 19% 34% 29% 11% 2% -
35 PAVLENISHVILI Luke 8% 30% 38% 20% 4% - -
36 SIMMONS John M. - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3%
37 SHELMIDINE Cole 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
38 SUBA Lucas - 4% 17% 33% 30% 13% 2%
39 BECKWITH Charlie 21% 41% 28% 9% 1% -
40 TAUER Sam - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
41 KATZ Jason - 1% 6% 22% 36% 28% 8%
42 ATWOOD Griffin - 1% 6% 22% 38% 27% 6%
43 ALMEDA Stanislav 1% 16% 35% 32% 14% 3% -
44 LEE Anderson 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
45 ROSADO Sebastian 9% 37% 40% 12% 1% - -
46 DZIALO George A. - 5% 21% 38% 29% 8%
47 KMETA-SUAREZ Graysen 19% 41% 29% 9% 1% -
48 KOGAN Yelisey L. - 1% 9% 34% 38% 16% 2%
49 CHAMBERS Thomas J. - 1% 5% 19% 36% 31% 9%
50 AMES Kylan 2% 12% 31% 36% 17% 3% -
51 BODKIN Jake M. 1% 10% 29% 35% 20% 5% -
52 GINGERY Julian 18% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
53 BERGER Jacob 7% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1% -
54 WEISS Toby 16% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
55 DUARTE PALOMINO Miguel 19% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
56 SWIFT Owen - 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
57 ROBINSON Jack 5% 24% 38% 26% 7% 1% -
58 GONG ziqian - 6% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
59 BRADBURY Noah 8% 35% 36% 16% 4% - -
60 ARMSTRONG Nathaniel 52% 37% 10% 1% - - -
61 ZISLIN Benjamin 34% 46% 17% 3% - - -
62 BHERWANI Ishaan 50% 40% 10% 1% - - -
63 VAHABZADEH Jake R. 21% 42% 27% 8% 1% - -
64 LIBBY Benjamin 52% 38% 9% 1% - - -
65 PEACE Samuel 9% 39% 39% 12% 1% - -
66 KULIK YAROSLAV 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
67 JACQUES Hugo 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
67 HOWARD Demani 24% 40% 26% 8% 1% - -
69 BRUMBAUGH Alex 75% 22% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.