Neil Lazar Div1A/Div2/Veteran ROC

Div II Men's Saber

Sunday, November 19, 2023 at 12:00 PM

NYA Sports and Fitness Center - Newtown, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIN Steve 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 33%
2 KATZ Ryan 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 21%
3 NOURELDIN Gabriel 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 33%
3 KIM ELIJAH 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 35%
5 AO Christopher 100% 99% 90% 61% 26% 6% < 1%
6 DUMOULIN Gabriel 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
7 TSAO Oliver 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 14%
8 CUSUMANO Neal 100% 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1%
9 WAXLER Seth B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
9 BONDARENCO Vlad 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 32%
11 RODRIGUEZ Darlin 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 67%
12 HUFF Clayton R. 100% 99% 90% 60% 24% 5% -
13 RYAN Kai 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 17% 2%
14 WAXLER Aaron M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 29%
15 SHINCHUK Daniel 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 9% 1%
16 UNG Kai 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 42% 10%
17 FRANCOIS Alexander C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 25%
18 LIM Brandon 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
19 GONG zihao 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
20 LAUB William 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 8%
21 KOGAN Nikita 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 21% 3%
22 WANG Weiyun 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 28% 5%
23 SEN Christian 100% 97% 78% 42% 13% 2% -
24 DESAUTELS Connor 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 6% 1%
25 TERENTIEV Max 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 7%
26 CHENG Brandon 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 35% 5%
27 MARGULIS Jared 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
28 DIMATTEO Michael 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 21% 3%
29 HUROWITZ Max 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8%
30 HUANG Maxwell H. 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
31 PODDAR Shameek 100% 91% 54% 18% 3% - -
32 SADHU Neiyam 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 9% 1%
33 BADUSHOV Anton 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24% 2%
34 TSAO Alister 100% 96% 77% 42% 14% 2% -
35 PAVLENISHVILI Luke 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% - -
36 SIMMONS John M. 100% 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3%
37 SHELMIDINE Cole 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
38 SUBA Lucas 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 15% 2%
39 BECKWITH Charlie 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% -
40 TAUER Sam 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
41 KATZ Jason 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
42 ATWOOD Griffin 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 6%
43 ALMEDA Stanislav 100% 99% 83% 48% 17% 3% -
44 LEE Anderson 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
45 ROSADO Sebastian 100% 91% 54% 14% 2% - -
46 DZIALO George A. 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 8%
47 KMETA-SUAREZ Graysen 100% 81% 40% 11% 1% -
48 KOGAN Yelisey L. 100% 100% 99% 90% 56% 18% 2%
49 CHAMBERS Thomas J. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 9%
50 AMES Kylan 100% 98% 87% 55% 20% 3% -
51 BODKIN Jake M. 100% 99% 90% 60% 25% 5% -
52 GINGERY Julian 100% 82% 43% 12% 2% - -
53 BERGER Jacob 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
54 WEISS Toby 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -
55 DUARTE PALOMINO Miguel 100% 81% 41% 12% 2% - -
56 SWIFT Owen 100% 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1%
57 ROBINSON Jack 100% 95% 72% 33% 7% 1% -
58 GONG ziqian 100% 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1%
59 BRADBURY Noah 100% 92% 57% 21% 4% - -
60 ARMSTRONG Nathaniel 100% 48% 11% 1% - - -
61 ZISLIN Benjamin 100% 66% 20% 3% - - -
62 BHERWANI Ishaan 100% 50% 10% 1% - - -
63 VAHABZADEH Jake R. 100% 79% 37% 9% 1% - -
64 LIBBY Benjamin 100% 48% 10% 1% - - -
65 PEACE Samuel 100% 91% 52% 13% 2% - -
66 KULIK YAROSLAV 100% 96% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
67 JACQUES Hugo 100% 88% 52% 18% 3% - -
67 HOWARD Demani 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
69 BRUMBAUGH Alex 100% 25% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.