Neil Lazar Div1A/Div2/Veteran ROC

Div I-A Women's Épée

Sunday, November 19, 2023 at 1:00 PM

NYA Sports and Fitness Center - Newtown, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHOY LeeAnn 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 56%
2 WANG Zoe 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
3 SHU Youshan 100% 100% 99% 88% 50% 11%
3 LI Fei 100% 100% 99% 91% 57% 16%
5 NOVOJILOV Anastasia 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6%
6 MISHIMA Audrey 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 13% 1%
7 DAVIS Jessica L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 64% 13%
8 FENG Ge 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
9 BASRALIAN Azniv 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 12%
10 WANG Yumin 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 66%
11 SPRINGER Sierra 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
12 WANG Sophie Y. 100% 89% 52% 17% 3% -
13 ETZEL Rowan 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
14 WROBEL Julia 100% 52% 12% 1% < 1% -
15 HE Lizbeth 100% 96% 74% 35% 9% 1% -
16 PRIHODKO Nina 100% 100% 99% 89% 53% 12%
17 ZHANG Michelle 100% 100% 100% 96% 71% 26%
18 LI Olivia 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 2%
19 PARSONS Mischa 100% 99% 86% 52% 17% 2%
20 SEREGIN Katya 100% 97% 81% 46% 13% 1%
21 KAUR Manroop 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 16% 2%
22 MONOVA Lilyana 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 29% 4%
23 PAN Angela 100% 97% 78% 39% 9% 1% -
24 CANNING Charlotte 100% 100% 99% 91% 57% 15%
25 CHEN Jingyun 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 17% 1%
26 LIN Victoria T. 100% 100% 93% 70% 34% 9% 1%
27 ROWLAND May 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 17% 2%
28 MARCHANT Sandra M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 42%
29 VENKATESAN Harshitha 100% 73% 26% 4% - -
30 FENG Iris 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% -
31 MASTRONARDI Laura 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
32 ZHANG ANGELA 100% 98% 81% 46% 15% 2% -
33 BRUNSON Nile 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 22% 2%
34 CASHMAN Amanda 100% 86% 46% 12% 1% - -
35 TRAN Helena 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 6%
36 WUNDERLICH Cara J. 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 14%
37 WESER Veronica U. 100% 100% 100% 99% 85% 40%
38 THOMAS Meagan R. 100% 91% 52% 12% 1% -
39 XIE Fiona 100% 95% 71% 31% 6% - -
40 WILLIAMSON Beatrix 100% 99% 87% 53% 16% 2% -
41 SANLIKOL Suzan 100% 75% 31% 7% 1% -
42 PATIL Amulya 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 7%
43 CHEN Alicia 100% 92% 58% 17% 2% -
44 GAVILANES Madyson 100% 73% 27% 4% - -
45 CHANG Chloe 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 16% 2%
46 ZOU You yang (Yoyo) 100% 96% 72% 32% 5% - -
47 REISNER Gabriella 100% 61% 18% 2% - - -
48 DENG Joy 100% 83% 43% 12% 2% - -
49 BRISK Angelica A. 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11%
50 GORDET Cristina G. 100% 100% 98% 83% 49% 13%
51 ZHENG Linden 100% 97% 81% 45% 14% 2%
52 BOWIE Charlotta 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 13%
53 COLELLA Lauren 100% 92% 56% 15% 2% -
54 LEE Hwaeun 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% -
55 BYRON Karen J. 100% 98% 85% 51% 17% 2%
56 FANG Kayla 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% -
57 DANNHAUSER Carol A. 100% 86% 49% 16% 2% -
58 CAMPBELL Anahit M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 66% 17%
59 PHELAN Gabrielle 100% 64% 21% 3% - - -
60 SIZER Courtney 100% 50% 11% 1% - -
61 CONNOLLY Natasha 100% 75% 31% 7% 1% -
62 JENSEN MJ 100% 93% 63% 23% 3% - -
62 ALVAREZ Letizia 100% 38% 7% 1% - - -
64 GEFFNER Olivia 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.