Neil Lazar Div1A/Div2/Veteran ROC

Div II Women's Saber

Sunday, November 19, 2023 at 4:00 PM

NYA Sports and Fitness Center - Newtown, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BUSH Bethany 100% 100% 100% 94% 61% 16%
2 VINOKUR Anita 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
3 HALPERIN Elizabeth H. 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 6%
3 ZHANG Sophie 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 49% 12%
5 SHINCHUK Ellisha 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 20%
6 HU Anna 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 40%
7 MAK Kaitlin 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 4% -
8 LOPEZ-ONA Mia 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 13% 1%
9 LIU Moran 100% 100% 100% 98% 80% 34%
10 GUHA Surabhi 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% 1% -
11 JOHNSTON Lily 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
12 BIRNSTILL Reese 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
13 NAYAK Anika 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 20% 3%
14 NAYAK Esha 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 17%
15 MANI Francesca B. 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 10%
16 KHOST Maeve 100% 99% 92% 60% 18% 2%
17 ZHANG Ruijia Alexa 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 26% 5%
18 WOTZAK Kaia 100% 99% 90% 62% 28% 7% 1%
19 CHOU Zoe 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 10% -
20 BROWN Aria 100% 95% 70% 29% 6% -
21 LOCONTO Sophia 100% 99% 89% 52% 14% 1%
22 YEN Natalie 100% 100% 100% 94% 59% 15%
23 YANO Wendy 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 44%
24 LIM Alexa J. 100% 92% 62% 25% 6% 1% -
25 BARNES Sarah 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
26 CHAVAN Arya 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 21%
27 FOURNIER Madison 100% 64% 17% 2% - -
28 GETZONI Mary 100% 67% 17% 2% - -
29 HARRISON Allie 100% 73% 21% 2% - -
30 SRINATH Lyra A. 100% 98% 79% 43% 14% 3% -
31 AKULA Roszlynn 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
32 MAROSFOI Virag 100% 72% 27% 5% - -
33 DESAUTELS Alexandra 100% 96% 70% 18% 2% -
34 CHURCH Madeline 100% 54% 10% - - -
35 CUTLER Juliet 100% 80% 38% 9% 1% -
36 SCHAKE Sasha 100% 98% 88% 62% 30% 9% 1%
37 SIMMONS Kinley 100% 100% 96% 77% 43% 12% 1%
38 PEDICONE Clare 100% 96% 69% 26% 4% - -
39 ROBERTSON Szilvia 100% 31% 4% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.