8th Annual Orange & Blue

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, November 19, 2023 at 9:00 AM

Alachua County Sports Complex at Celebration Point - Gainesville, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ALVIOR Joshua - - - 1% 10% 56% 34%
2 HANDBERG Paul - - - 2% 11% 38% 49%
3 IRWIN Peter - - - - 4% 32% 63%
3 CLAYTON Robert - - 5% 31% 59% 4%
5 FREY Wayne - - - 8% 38% 53%
5 PROVATAS Eustratios - - 2% 38% 46% 14%
7 SHAW Ian - - - 1% 7% 34% 59%
8 CHENG Ava - - - 3% 18% 43% 36%
9 FULLERTON Joshua - - 3% 21% 48% 28%
10 ALNEAMAH Anwar - - - - 11% 88%
11 KYPRAIOS Nicholas - - 4% 24% 48% 24%
12 VAN NIMWEGEN Nicholas - 1% 10% 41% 37% 11% 1%
13 ZHOU Alec - - - 11% 47% 41%
14 GROSSE Michael - - 4% 21% 45% 29%
15 GELNAW William (Gypsy) - 1% 5% 19% 37% 31% 6%
16 LANGUASCO Michael - 2% 24% 46% 24% 4%
17 CHENG Thomas - - - - 4% 28% 67%
18 DUPREE Thomas - - 1% 12% 45% 41%
19 ROMERO KURI Alexander - - 1% 22% 50% 27%
20 ALVIOR Jacob - - - 14% 46% 39%
21 KOSSMANN Raymond - 4% 19% 36% 30% 10% -
22 DINKINS Adam - 3% 14% 35% 37% 11% 1%
23 RODRIGUEZ Lucas - - 4% 19% 40% 32% 4%
24 DAVIS Jonah - 1% 5% 20% 38% 30% 6%
25 DASILVA Mia - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
26 WEDDLE Carson - 2% 21% 56% 19% 2%
27 OLSON Clayton - 2% 17% 39% 34% 8%
28 BELL Adam 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4% -
29 SKRYPEK Alan - 1% 9% 33% 43% 13%
30 SLOTER Lewis - 10% 38% 42% 9% -
31 ADIBZADEH Mehrdad - 4% 23% 45% 24% 4%
32 ORLANDO Dante 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8% -
33 JANES Cole 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% < 1% -
34 GOODMAN Michael - - 4% 18% 35% 31% 10%
35 RODDENBERRY Steven 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
36 MCFARLAND John - 1% 9% 33% 41% 16% 1%
37 POWELL Troy 1% 7% 24% 36% 24% 8% 1%
38 DAVIS Elisabeth 8% 29% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
39 FERNLUND Helen - 13% 38% 36% 12% 1%
40 BOLLE Elijah 2% 34% 46% 17% 1% -
41 BEATTY Thomas - 2% 14% 33% 35% 14% 1%
42 RASSEL John 2% 12% 30% 34% 19% 4% -
43 LIU Kevin - 2% 10% 28% 38% 20% 2%
44 DAVIS Kelly 2% 18% 41% 31% 7% 1% -
45 WILFORD Madigan 17% 39% 31% 11% 1% - -
46 DAVIS Shanna 19% 62% 18% 1% - -
47 LIU Nick 14% 49% 34% 3% - -
48 OZTEK Muzaffer - - 8% 48% 37% 7%
49 BRIDGES Brayden 10% 43% 42% 4% - -
50 STEWART Sarah 62% 33% 5% - - -
51 AGEE Brendon 39% 45% 14% 2% - -
52 PEREVORUKHOV Ivan 1% 20% 59% 19% 1% -
53 LOPEZ Lincoln 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
54 COLLINS Hannah 25% 46% 24% 5% - - -
55 JIN Dongwoo 5% 27% 40% 22% 5% - -
56 RODA Thaleia 4% 18% 35% 31% 12% 1% -
57 MCCREARY Madeleine 7% 50% 33% 8% 1% - -
58 DINGEE Paul 14% 41% 36% 8% 1% -
59 KOTHA Maanas 3% 28% 44% 22% 3% -
60 HAWKINS Sophia 3% 35% 42% 17% 3% -
61 GRIFFITHS Wesley 2% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
62 INTERTHAL William 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4% -
63 GUADAMUZ Cesar 13% 37% 34% 13% 2% - -
64 KARPF Jonah 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2% -
65 LEWIS Katherine 45% 44% 11% - - -
66 TRUE Robert 52% 39% 8% - - -
67 PAVLOV Anastasia 22% 44% 26% 7% 1% -
68 DOAN Dylan 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1% -
69 CROSS Phoenix 20% 41% 28% 9% 1% - -
70 OESTE Kevin 2% 16% 38% 33% 11% 1% -
71 MCLENDON Matthew 18% 57% 22% 2% - -
72 WYBLE Sierra 43% 48% 8% 1% - -
72 CULLEN Reilly 1% 17% 67% 15% 1% -
74 LEE Dohyun 1% 7% 25% 37% 23% 7% 1%
75 WILEY Morgan 76% 22% 2% - - -
76 SAYER Laura 19% 41% 29% 9% 1% - -
77 PHAM Hailey 9% 33% 39% 17% 2% - -
77 WATKINS Robert 8% 34% 37% 17% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.