8th Annual Orange & Blue

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, November 19, 2023 at 9:00 AM

Alachua County Sports Complex at Celebration Point - Gainesville, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ALVIOR Joshua 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 34%
2 HANDBERG Paul 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
3 IRWIN Peter 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 63%
3 CLAYTON Robert 100% 100% 100% 95% 63% 4%
5 FREY Wayne 100% 100% 100% 100% 91% 53%
5 PROVATAS Eustratios 100% 100% 100% 98% 60% 14%
7 SHAW Ian 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 59%
8 CHENG Ava 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36%
9 FULLERTON Joshua 100% 100% 100% 97% 76% 28%
10 ALNEAMAH Anwar 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 88%
11 KYPRAIOS Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 24%
12 VAN NIMWEGEN Nicholas 100% 100% 99% 90% 49% 12% 1%
13 ZHOU Alec 100% 100% 100% 100% 88% 41%
14 GROSSE Michael 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 29%
15 GELNAW William (Gypsy) 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 37% 6%
16 LANGUASCO Michael 100% 100% 98% 74% 28% 4%
17 CHENG Thomas 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67%
18 DUPREE Thomas 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 41%
19 ROMERO KURI Alexander 100% 100% 100% 99% 77% 27%
20 ALVIOR Jacob 100% 100% 100% 100% 86% 39%
21 KOSSMANN Raymond 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 10% -
22 DINKINS Adam 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 12% 1%
23 RODRIGUEZ Lucas 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 37% 4%
24 DAVIS Jonah 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 36% 6%
25 DASILVA Mia 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
26 WEDDLE Carson 100% 100% 98% 77% 21% 2%
27 OLSON Clayton 100% 100% 98% 81% 42% 8%
28 BELL Adam 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 5% -
29 SKRYPEK Alan 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 13%
30 SLOTER Lewis 100% 100% 89% 51% 9% -
31 ADIBZADEH Mehrdad 100% 100% 95% 72% 27% 4%
32 ORLANDO Dante 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8% -
33 JANES Cole 100% 77% 36% 10% 1% < 1% -
34 GOODMAN Michael 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 10%
35 RODDENBERRY Steven 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
36 MCFARLAND John 100% 100% 99% 91% 58% 17% 1%
37 POWELL Troy 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 8% 1%
38 DAVIS Elisabeth 100% 92% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
39 FERNLUND Helen 100% 100% 87% 49% 13% 1%
40 BOLLE Elijah 100% 98% 64% 18% 1% -
41 BEATTY Thomas 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 15% 1%
42 RASSEL John 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4% -
43 LIU Kevin 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 22% 2%
44 DAVIS Kelly 100% 98% 80% 40% 8% 1% -
45 WILFORD Madigan 100% 83% 44% 12% 1% - -
46 DAVIS Shanna 100% 81% 19% 1% - -
47 LIU Nick 100% 86% 37% 3% - -
48 OZTEK Muzaffer 100% 100% 100% 92% 44% 7%
49 BRIDGES Brayden 100% 90% 47% 5% - -
50 STEWART Sarah 100% 38% 5% - - -
51 AGEE Brendon 100% 61% 16% 2% - -
52 PEREVORUKHOV Ivan 100% 99% 79% 20% 1% -
53 LOPEZ Lincoln 100% 96% 77% 43% 13% 2% -
54 COLLINS Hannah 100% 75% 30% 6% - - -
55 JIN Dongwoo 100% 95% 68% 28% 6% - -
56 RODA Thaleia 100% 96% 78% 44% 13% 1% -
57 MCCREARY Madeleine 100% 93% 42% 9% 1% - -
58 DINGEE Paul 100% 86% 45% 9% 1% -
59 KOTHA Maanas 100% 97% 69% 25% 3% -
60 HAWKINS Sophia 100% 97% 62% 20% 3% -
61 GRIFFITHS Wesley 100% 98% 84% 52% 20% 4% -
62 INTERTHAL William 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 4% -
63 GUADAMUZ Cesar 100% 87% 50% 16% 2% - -
64 KARPF Jonah 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2% -
65 LEWIS Katherine 100% 55% 11% - - -
66 TRUE Robert 100% 48% 9% - - -
67 PAVLOV Anastasia 100% 78% 34% 8% 1% -
68 DOAN Dylan 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1% -
69 CROSS Phoenix 100% 80% 38% 10% 1% - -
70 OESTE Kevin 100% 98% 82% 44% 12% 1% -
71 MCLENDON Matthew 100% 82% 25% 2% - -
72 WYBLE Sierra 100% 57% 9% 1% - -
72 CULLEN Reilly 100% 99% 82% 16% 1% -
74 LEE Dohyun 100% 99% 93% 68% 31% 7% 1%
75 WILEY Morgan 100% 24% 2% - - -
76 SAYER Laura 100% 81% 40% 11% 1% - -
77 PHAM Hailey 100% 91% 59% 20% 2% - -
77 WATKINS Robert 100% 92% 58% 21% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.