The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Duel at Dallas Div1A/2/Vet ROC

Div II Men's Foil

Sunday, November 19, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Fencing Institute of Texas, Inc. - Carrollton, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MORA Johan - - 1% 10% 30% 41% 18%
2 ANDRIC Borna - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
3 TAN Christien - - - 3% 18% 46% 33%
3 SANCHEZ Emanuel - - 5% 20% 38% 29% 8%
5 LIU Michael H. - - - - 7% 39% 54%
6 KIM Brian - - - 4% 24% 51% 20%
7 CHEN Kelton - 1% 9% 30% 43% 15% 1%
8 KIM Adrian - - 1% 6% 26% 43% 24%
9 BARRETT Austin 2% 13% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
10 DAI Christopher 1% 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
11 JOHNSON Chance - 1% 7% 24% 38% 26% 4%
12 HEMENG Oppong M. - - 3% 16% 35% 34% 11%
13 MCKEE Calvin 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2% -
14 SENISCH Isaac 1% 10% 29% 37% 19% 4% -
15 WARMERDAM Joseph 17% 41% 32% 9% 1% - -
16 CHENG Mason 9% 32% 38% 18% 3% - -
17 WILSON Bryan 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% -
18 LEY Diego 7% 28% 38% 22% 5% - -
19 SAUVAGE-SOUTHGATE Troy 8% 36% 37% 16% 3% - -
20 CARPENTER Demetrius - 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3%
21 CHAN ShingHang 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
22 COWARD Daniel 2% 17% 39% 31% 10% 1% -
22 MCCOY Camden 20% 42% 28% 8% 1% - -
24 FARMER Marshal 19% 39% 29% 11% 2% - -
25 HOEFER Richard (Rick) A. 2% 11% 27% 33% 20% 6% 1%
26 GODFREY Christopher 35% 43% 18% 3% - - -
27 CHAN Kyle Si Tin 21% 42% 28% 8% 1% - -
28 NELSON Andrew 2% 26% 45% 24% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.