Duel at Dallas Div1A/2/Vet ROC

Div II Men's Épée

Sunday, November 19, 2023 at 12:30 PM

Fencing Institute of Texas, Inc. - Carrollton, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 SEBASTIAN Alexander P. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 39%
2 KARIDIS-SCHNEIDER Samuel 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 1%
3 TIEMANN Landen 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 11%
3 GILSBACH Ben 100% 97% 75% 35% 8% 1%
5 ZANKOWSKI Brendan 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
6 WIEGAND-SHAHANI Braden M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36%
6 ELLISOR Drayten 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 16%
8 VILLAREAL Quentin 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 12%
9 CHAKRAVARTHY Arjun 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% -
10 EMMERT JP 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 8%
11 CARDENAS Lucas 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
12 DADE MAXIMUS 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
13 HERNANDEZ Cole F. 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 16%
14 VAUGHN Matthew (Manny) E. 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
15 COHEN Nathan 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1%
16 MCMAHAN Christopher D. 100% 99% 86% 52% 18% 2%
17 MANGAN Hunter 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% -
18 RAGSDALE Jarrod 100% 97% 83% 50% 17% 3%
19 KASKAN Peter E. 100% 99% 86% 53% 17% 2%
20 LU Haoyang 100% 85% 46% 14% 2% -
21 LAING Flynt 100% 99% 88% 56% 19% 2%
21 BARTON Christian 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
23 SMITH Samuel J. 100% 89% 57% 22% 4% -
24 RICE Timothy 100% 94% 63% 24% 4% -
25 FISCHER Maximilien 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
26 SASAKI Luke 100% 99% 88% 58% 21% 2%
27 TALLEY Blake 100% 95% 72% 36% 9% 1%
28 DADE Augustus 100% 48% 10% 1% - -
29 GRINBERG Ethan 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% -
30 ZANKOWSKI Corey 100% 65% 20% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.