December SJCC + Division 1 NAC

Div I Women's Saber

Friday, December 1, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TARTAKOVSKY Elizabeth 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
2 CHAMBERLAIN Maia C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 80%
3 GREENBAUM Atara R. 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 21%
3 POSSICK Lola P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
5 SKARBONKIEWICZ Magda 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 79%
6 KIM Zoe 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 65%
7 GHAYALOD reya 100% 99% 92% 64% 25% 3%
8 XIAO julie 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 7% -
9 WILLIAMS Jadeyn E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
9 LEE Alexandra B. 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 12%
11 SHEALY Maggie 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
12 BURKE Nora S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
13 LU Vivian Y. 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 25%
14 LINDER Kara E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
15 MELNYCHUK Yelyzaveta 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 26% 3%
16 LEE Hannah 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 13% 1%
17 OISHI Megumi 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 15%
18 KONG Vera 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 53%
19 ANTHONY Alexia B. 100% 99% 89% 61% 23% 3% -
20 YANG Ashley M. 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 27% 4%
21 DRAGON Rainer 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 35% 3%
22 BROWN Emma 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 7%
23 HARRISON Imogen N. 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 42% 8%
24 WILLIAMS Chloe C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 12%
25 LI Victoria J. 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 8% 1%
26 MUND Ruth 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2% -
27 YANG Angelina LeLe 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 23% 3%
28 MIKA Veronica 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 48% 6%
29 LI Amanda C. 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7% 1%
30 KHAN Alissa 100% 86% 50% 16% 3% - -
31 MARTURANO Bridget H. 100% 97% 81% 50% 19% 4% -
32 VADASZ Ibla P. 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 6% -
33 SHOMAN Jenna 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
34 FOUR-GARCIA Madison 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 8%
35 SAYLES Nina R. 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 25% 3%
36 CHEN Ashley 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
37 LIN Nicole 100% 92% 64% 27% 5% -
38 CHEN Xiaohan 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 19% 2%
39 NAZLYMOV Tatiana F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
40 NATH Trisha 100% 100% 96% 76% 36% 8% -
41 SHTREVENSKY Maria 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 7% 1%
42 WANG Elysia 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
43 ALCEBAR Kayla 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
44 KIM Marley I. 100% 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 2%
45 KOLMYKOVA Aleksandra 100% 99% 90% 61% 23% 3%
46 WU Helen 100% 92% 64% 27% 5% -
47 YUCEL Emine I. 100% 99% 92% 63% 23% 3%
48 JOHNSON Honor 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 69%
49 MAKLIN Sofia 100% 93% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
50 CHANG Josephine S. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 9%
51 FOX-GITOMER Chloe N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67%
52 SOURIMTO Valeria 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3% -
53 FEIG Sela 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1% -
54 ZHANG Sophie 100% 93% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
55 ZHANG XUANYI 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 2% -
56 ALFARACHE Gabriella C. 100% 98% 85% 53% 17% 2% -
57 SHEARER Natalie E. 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 5% -
57 MEDVINSKY Alexandra 100% 83% 46% 15% 2% - -
59 LU Elaine 100% 98% 86% 52% 17% 2%
60 LIGH Erenei J. 100% 97% 78% 43% 12% 1%
61 JOHNSON Dagny L. 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
62 MCKEE Brynnley 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 6% -
63 JOHNSON Lydia 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
64 VESTEL Mira B. 100% 100% 95% 71% 31% 6% -
65 PAUL Lila 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 15% 2%
66 LEE Sophia 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1% -
67 DUCKETT Madison 100% 99% 86% 50% 15% 2%
68 COLTER Aurora 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% -
69 FAVO Isabella 100% 83% 42% 11% 1% -
70 CHIN Sophia J. 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
71 STAPLETON Lindsay K. 100% 99% 88% 59% 25% 5% -
72 FERNANDEZ Martina 100% 92% 63% 25% 5% - -
73 TABANGAY Heartlyn 100% 98% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
74 BENOIT Adelaide L. 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 1% -
74 YANG Lea 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 1% -
76 RAMIREZ Mirka A. 100% 82% 40% 10% 1% - -
76 CHIANG Melissa 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% - -
78 ZHANG Chenfei 100% 82% 34% 6% 1% - -
79 PRIEUR Lauren 100% 90% 62% 28% 7% 1% -
80 CHRISTOTHOULOU Olympia C. 100% 97% 83% 50% 17% 2% -
81 SCOTT Eve 100% 90% 56% 20% 3% - -
82 FESTA Carina 100% 77% 31% 6% 1% -
83 YAO Rainie 100% 73% 30% 6% 1% -
84 LIU Yifei 100% 67% 21% 3% - -
85 CALLAHAN Chase J. 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 8% -
86 GRAFF Sophie 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
86 MARYASH Samantha 100% 97% 79% 43% 12% 1% -
88 WIGGERS Susan Q. 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
89 CHAVAN Arya 100% 48% 9% 1% - - -
90 WANG Gloria Ruoyan 100% 80% 41% 11% 2% - -
91 SATHYANATH Kailing 100% 100% 95% 70% 30% 6% -
92 HENRY Soraya S. 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% - -
93 JEONG Katie 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% 1% -
94 BUHAY Kirsten M. 100% 79% 36% 9% 1% - -
95 LEMUS-IAKOVIDOU ALEXANDRA 100% 77% 34% 7% 1% - -
96 DONG Angel 100% 77% 35% 9% 1% - -
97 GLUCK Myriam 100% 71% 27% 5% 1% - -
98 MANSPERGER Leena 100% 92% 59% 20% 3% - -
99 NGUYEN Siena 100% 97% 83% 50% 17% 2% -
99 BARNOVITZ Maya 100% 86% 52% 20% 4% - -
101 HE Charlotte 100% 99% 88% 58% 21% 2%
102 XU Emily T. 100% 68% 26% 5% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.