December SJCC + Division 1 NAC

Div I Women's Foil

Saturday, December 2, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 STUTCHBURY Carolina J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 50%
2 WEINTRAUB Maia M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 68%
3 DUBROVICH Jacqueline 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 83%
3 SCRUGGS Lauren S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 87%
5 LIU Jaelyn A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 48% 11%
6 JING Emily 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 47%
7 MASSIALAS Sabrina C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 78%
8 LEE Alina 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 20%
9 KOENIG Charlotte R. 100% 100% 97% 83% 46% 8%
10 CHO Sabrina N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 44%
11 SHEN Lydia 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 27% 1%
12 GEBALA Gabrielle Grace A. 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 2%
13 AMR HOSSNY Sara 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 4%
14 CHEN Jia P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 17%
15 LUNG Katerina 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
16 DEVORE Delphine P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 61%
17 GRIFFIN Emma G. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45% 6%
18 FANG Sabrina 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 36%
19 TAN Kaitlyn N. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 8%
20 PARTRIDGE Morgan K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 50%
21 GOOR Viviene E. 100% 94% 67% 28% 5% -
22 LESLIE Ryanne T. 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 27%
23 DAVIS Bonnie Z. 100% 99% 90% 57% 17% 2% -
24 CAO Ying 100% 100% 100% 98% 80% 35% 4%
25 SENIC Adeline 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42% 8%
26 DESCHNER Stefani K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 66%
27 CONWAY Josephina (JoJo) J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 19%
27 EYER Hailey M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
29 KIM Rachael 100% 100% 97% 84% 49% 13%
30 LUO Ziyue 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5%
31 CHO Rebecca H. 100% 99% 92% 65% 25% 3%
32 LEE Jiahn (Lana) 100% 98% 82% 42% 10% 1% -
33 TAFFEL sara 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 44%
34 RHODES Zander 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 85%
35 CHUSID Mikayla 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 69% 24%
36 SHEN Sophia H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
37 ANDREYENKA Yana 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52% 12%
38 LEE Lavender 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 27% 1%
39 SEO IRENE Y. 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 7% 1%
40 FEDELI Caterina S. 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 31% 3%
41 ZHANG Alina C. 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 14% 1%
42 PEVZNER Victoria 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 52% 11%
42 NISSINOFF Alexandra 100% 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1%
44 ORVANANOS Anice 100% 97% 77% 39% 10% 1% -
45 GALAVOTTI Claire Teresa 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33% 5%
46 XUE Alanna L. 100% 100% 97% 80% 35% 6% -
47 JO Mia C. 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 7% 1%
48 CHEN Renee 100% 94% 64% 26% 6% 1% -
48 CHO Emily (Euran) 100% 97% 77% 37% 8% 1% -
50 FENG Grace 100% 94% 67% 29% 6% 1% -
51 SHEN Emilia 100% 79% 39% 10% 1% -
52 KIM Katherine 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 10%
53 TAKAMIZAWA Yukari 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51% 5%
54 PETROVA Kristina 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 25% 2%
55 CAO Arianna L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
56 KONG Chin-Yi 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 52% 4%
57 JANG Kimberley 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 19% 1%
58 CHEN Chloe I. 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 2% -
59 SAIFEE Lamya 100% 91% 59% 20% 3% - -
60 YANG Emma 100% 92% 63% 25% 4% - -
61 WANDJI Anais 100% 93% 64% 25% 4% -
62 FUNG Vera 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% -
63 YANG Audrey 100% 94% 66% 26% 4% - -
64 CHOW Annabelle 100% 97% 78% 40% 9% 1% -
65 SONG Yuqiao Aprille 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 7% 1%
66 CHEN Allison V. 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15% 1%
67 LEE Yejine 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50% 10%
68 ANDREYENKA Hanna 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 21%
69 VIANNA Gabriella 100% 97% 81% 45% 13% 2% -
70 ROZPEDOWSKI Claire 100% 78% 31% 6% 1% - -
71 LAI Sophia 100% 98% 84% 49% 14% 2% -
72 SHMUKLER Maria 100% 69% 26% 4% < 1% - -
73 HO Brianna W. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 36% 6%
74 BREKER Anika 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 14%
75 PAULUS Sloane E. 100% 85% 42% 8% 1% - -
76 KO Claire 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% - -
77 SHA Yi Ling 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% - -
78 LIN Zhi Tong 100% 99% 84% 45% 12% 1% -
79 ADLER Polly Z. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
80 PALMER Meredith K. 100% 100% 93% 65% 24% 4% -
81 LOCKE Savannah 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13% 1%
82 CASCONE Emily 100% 90% 57% 20% 3% - -
83 BIODROWICZ Julia 100% 96% 74% 36% 8% 1% -
84 FUNG Emma 100% 93% 63% 25% 5% 1% -
85 YANG Iris 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 1%
86 MANIKTALA Prisha 100% 85% 45% 12% 1% -
87 KOKES Aurora 100% 97% 80% 44% 11% 1%
88 LEE Annora Y. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
89 KORABLINA Aleksandra 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42% 6%
90 PARK Rowan M. 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 12% 1%
90 DENG Melissa 100% 78% 36% 8% 1% - -
92 SWANSON Alexa 100% 66% 24% 4% - - -
93 ZHAO Sophie L. 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 4% -
94 PEVZNER Nicole 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% - -
95 DOROSHKEVICH Taisiia 100% 94% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
96 RENTON Samantha 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 11% 1%
96 HAO Danica 100% 86% 40% 9% 1% - -
96 WANG CAROL 100% 75% 33% 7% 1% - -
99 NEWHARD Zelia "Zizi" 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7% -
100 MUSTO Isabella 100% 46% 9% 1% - - -
101 KIM Rachel 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% -
102 KLINE Melissa C. 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 2%
103 LI Eleanor 100% 75% 33% 7% 1% -
104 SHMAY Anastasia 100% 95% 71% 30% 4% - -
105 ERTUN Lal 100% 93% 63% 24% 4% - -
106 YAO Ada 100% 92% 61% 24% 4% - -
107 KETTELLE Molly 100% 66% 23% 4% - - -
108 MI Aileen 100% 96% 73% 35% 9% 1% -
109 CHANG Elizabeth 100% 89% 50% 12% 1% - -
110 LI Sophia M. 100% 95% 70% 32% 8% 1% -
110 WANG Jasmine 100% 84% 43% 11% 1% - -
112 WANG SIQI 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% - -
113 MEI Sarah 100% 96% 72% 32% 5% - -
114 DAI Zizhuo (Zizi) 100% 94% 66% 27% 5% - -
115 HSU Kaylin 100% 93% 64% 25% 4% - -
116 WU Julianna Y. 100% 92% 61% 23% 5% - -
117 MARKOVSKY Nina 100% 74% 31% 6% - - -
118 CEPERO Rosabel 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 11% 1%
119 LEVY Avery 100% 63% 18% 2% - - -
120 CASTANEDA Keira 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
121 CALISE Ella 100% 90% 57% 19% 3% -
122 HU Felice 100% 69% 25% 4% - - -
123 VO Bao-Vy 100% 48% 11% 1% - - -
123 YU Jane 100% 46% 8% 1% - - -
125 COOPER Piper W. 100% 93% 66% 28% 6% 1% -
126 LUONG Tiffany C. 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% - -
126 ROY Layla 100% 89% 45% 11% 1% - -
126 LEE Fiona E. 100% 92% 60% 21% 2% - -
129 DONG Angela 100% 59% 16% 2% - - -
130 LIU Angel(Daying) 100% 94% 67% 28% 6% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.