December SJCC + Division 1 NAC

Junior Women's Foil

Sunday, December 3, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Allison V. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
2 KIM Katherine 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67%
3 ZHANG Alina C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 61%
3 SONG Yuqiao Aprille 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
5 TAKAMIZAWA Yukari 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
6 EYER Hailey M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 79%
7 LUO Ziyue 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
8 GOOR Viviene E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 29%
9 CHO Rebecca H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
10 PALMER Meredith K. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 19%
11 LUO Sandra J. 100% 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 6%
12 COOPER Piper W. 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 22% 2%
13 KONG Chin-Yi 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
14 WU Julianna Y. 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 5%
15 SAIFEE Lamya 100% 100% 97% 79% 42% 12% 1%
16 FUNG Vera 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 33% 6%
17 CASCONE Emily 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 28% 5%
18 NAMGALAURI Mariam 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 9%
19 WANDJI Anais 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
19 CHO Emily (Euran) 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 5%
21 DAVIS Bonnie Z. 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 24%
22 LI Eleanor 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 15% 2%
23 LIN Zhi Tong 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 8%
24 GRIFFIN Emma G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 67%
25 CALISE Ella 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9%
26 KIM Rachel 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 36% 7%
27 YANG Iris 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
28 NISSINOFF Alexandra 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 21%
29 YAO Ada 100% 100% 94% 71% 31% 5%
30 PEVZNER Nicole 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 8% 1%
31 SHENG Chuxi 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 22% 2%
32 REN Kayley 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 3% -
33 HAYES Nadia 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 44%
34 CHEN Renee 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 41% 6%
35 LOCKE Savannah 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 29%
36 LEE Jiahn (Lana) 100% 100% 100% 94% 73% 35% 7%
37 SHMAY Anastasia 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 18% 2%
38 LEE Lavender 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
39 ERTUN Lal 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
40 ZELDIN Nadia 100% 94% 65% 27% 6% 1% -
41 LI Sophia M. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 5%
42 SEO IRENE Y. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 28%
43 ROZPEDOWSKI Claire 100% 99% 88% 61% 26% 5% -
44 DENG Melissa 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 9% 1%
45 HSU Kaylin 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 21% 2%
46 ORVANANOS Anice 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 6%
47 PAULUS Sloane E. 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2%
48 SUN Emily 100% 100% 97% 77% 38% 8% -
49 DOROSHKEVICH Taisiia 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 33% 6%
50 CASTANEDA Keira 100% 100% 99% 86% 53% 18% 2%
51 SHEN Emilia 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 41% 8%
51 DAI Zizhuo (Zizi) 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
53 MARTIRE Alessandra 100% 80% 37% 8% 1% - -
54 TAYLOR Gabby 100% 63% 12% 1% - -
55 NEWHARD Zelia "Zizi" 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
56 ZHAO Sophie L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 18%
57 MANIKTALA Prisha 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 23% 4%
58 FUNG Emma 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 4%
59 ZHANG Eunice 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 20% 2%
60 FENG Grace 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 36% 6%
61 KETTELLE Molly 100% 99% 86% 54% 19% 3% -
62 ROY Layla 100% 100% 96% 76% 36% 8% 1%
63 MEI Sarah 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
64 OWENS Elise 100% 98% 67% 26% 5% - -
65 WANG CAROL 100% 100% 93% 54% 12% -
66 LEE Fiona E. 100% 100% 97% 78% 40% 10% 1%
67 ZHENG Julie 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 21% 2%
68 WANG SIQI 100% 100% 95% 72% 33% 7% 1%
69 LIU Angel(Daying) 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 3%
70 FENG Audrey 100% 61% 18% 3% - -
71 MCSHERRY Ava 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 1%
72 CHEN Chloe I. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 11%
73 ZHOU Catherine 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 10% 1%
74 MU Allison 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15% 1%
75 YANG Emma 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 21% 2%
76 HO Addison 100% 100% 91% 55% 19% 3% -
77 ZHANG Selena 100% 99% 81% 43% 13% 2% -
78 SHA Yi Ling 100% 100% 97% 77% 40% 11% 1%
78 LEVESQUE Brielle 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% - -
80 PAULUS Isabella 100% 94% 61% 23% 5% - -
81 HAO Danica 100% 100% 94% 59% 14% -
82 LENK Sophie 100% 98% 69% 27% 5% 1% -
83 MARKOVSKY Nina 100% 100% 96% 73% 35% 8% -
84 WANG Yudi 100% 96% 73% 33% 7% 1% -
84 BIODROWICZ Julia 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 3%
86 OH Ceana 100% 100% 87% 53% 18% 3% -
87 WANG Jasmine 100% 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% -
87 DONG Angela 100% 91% 62% 27% 6% 1% -
89 WANG Sabrina 100% 99% 86% 51% 17% 3% -
90 KO Claire 100% 99% 86% 53% 19% 3% -
91 HU Felice 100% 100% 90% 59% 22% 4% -
92 MUSTO Isabella 100% 97% 75% 34% 7% 1% -
92 CHOW Annabelle 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 9%
94 YAN Noelle 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 7% -
95 CUI alivia 100% 97% 64% 24% 5% - -
96 BASILE Gianna 100% 84% 39% 9% 1% - -
97 WANG Chloe 100% 96% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
97 VO Bao-Vy 100% 98% 83% 47% 15% 2% -
99 HOOGSTRA Lucy 100% 75% 31% 6% 1% - -
100 WANG Sophia 100% 93% 41% 9% 1% - -
101 DONG Emily 100% 71% 26% 4% - - -
102 HOBSON Ava 100% 95% 69% 28% 5% -
103 LAI Sophia 100% 100% 100% 91% 55% 7%
104 CHANG Elizabeth 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 11% 1%
105 BERGEL Daphne 100% 79% 36% 8% 1% - -
106 ZHANG Ivy 100% 98% 78% 37% 9% 1% -
107 KATS Ekaterina 100% 34% 5% - - - -
108 CHENG Isa 100% 66% 20% 3% - - -
109 SWANSON Alexa 100% 99% 90% 59% 23% 5% -
110 GUO Audrey 100% 69% 19% 2% - - -
111 CHANG Janelle 100% 24% 2% - - - -
111 CHEN Sophie 100% 40% 7% 1% - - -
113 HAFEZ Tahiyah 100% 99% 76% 34% 8% 1% -
114 YU Jane 100% 93% 64% 23% 4% - -
115 NEUMAN Sophie 100% 95% 61% 21% 3% - -
116 VIJAYAKUMAR Diya 100% 74% 26% 4% - - -
117 LIU Elinda 100% 89% 40% 9% 1% - -
118 LEVY Avery 100% 98% 80% 39% 9% 1% -
119 SNYDERS Evelyn 100% 38% 6% 1% - - -
120 ARMSTRONG Olivia 100% 53% 12% 1% - - -
121 SHMUKLER Maria 100% 89% 53% 17% 2% -
122 LIU Long 100% 74% 28% 5% - - -
123 CAMPBELL June 100% 72% 28% 5% - - -
123 CAO Kayla 100% 58% 12% 1% - - -
125 LAWRENCE Nia 100% 56% 9% - - -
126 RICHARDS Axelle 100% 18% 1% - - - -
127 CHAKRAPANI Ila 100% 18% 1% - - - -
128 COMO Gabriella 100% 11% - - - - -
129 PHILLIPS Hattie 100% 50% 12% 1% - - -
129 TSE Isabel 100% 17% 1% - - - -
131 MCDERMOTT Catherine 100% 31% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.