December SJCC + Division 1 NAC

Junior Men's Saber

Sunday, December 3, 2023 at 2:00 PM

Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HOLZ Daniel - - - 1% 10% 37% 51%
2 HUANG Ethan F. - - - 2% 14% 42% 42%
3 NAZLYMOV Andrei - - - 2% 15% 40% 42%
3 HOLZ William A. - - - 3% 14% 40% 43%
5 JIANG Anthony - - - 1% 10% 38% 51%
6 JEFFORDS Alexander - - 1% 11% 41% 48%
7 SU Landon - 1% 8% 24% 36% 26% 5%
8 YAO JINCHENG - - 2% 11% 31% 39% 17%
9 OH Triton - - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
10 WANG Nicolas - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
11 KANG Evan R. 1% 11% 29% 35% 20% 4%
12 ATANASSOV Vasil V. - - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
13 CHEONG Heonjun - 1% 6% 25% 43% 25%
14 BERRIO Carter E. - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
15 ERMAKOV Semeon - 7% 26% 39% 23% 4%
16 BROU Inkosi - 1% 6% 23% 41% 26% 4%
17 LIM William J. - - 1% 7% 35% 57%
18 SHOMAN Noah - - 1% 9% 29% 41% 20%
19 MCCARTHY Gabriel - - 2% 14% 36% 38% 10%
20 HU Zhao Xuanyu - 2% 11% 30% 35% 19% 3%
21 DEPEW Spencer - 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 4%
22 BARRIOS Diego 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 7% 1%
23 PATIL Aaryan A. - - 3% 13% 32% 37% 15%
24 CHON Collin - 2% 14% 39% 37% 8%
25 MAKLIN Edward P. - 1% 10% 30% 40% 19%
26 TAO Jeffrey - 1% 8% 32% 44% 15%
27 MATTOO Surya - 5% 22% 37% 28% 7%
28 KIM ELIJAH - 3% 16% 36% 34% 11%
29 ENGEL Peter - 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2%
30 WANG Daniel 1% 7% 26% 39% 23% 4%
31 MAHAPATRA SAMARTH - 4% 23% 44% 26% 4%
32 SHAHZAD Azlan A. - < 1% 5% 28% 48% 18%
33 RIGHTLER Samuel - - 1% 7% 24% 42% 27%
34 HJERPE Wade H. - - 1% 10% 29% 40% 20%
35 CRAIG Samuel - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
36 REN James - 1% 7% 28% 43% 21%
37 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu - - 2% 14% 37% 37% 10%
38 TIAGI Daniel 2% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
39 ERMAKOV Lev - - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
40 HONG Steven - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 19%
41 SAVOY Luca - - 3% 17% 38% 34% 7%
42 SHOMAN Zachary - - 4% 20% 43% 33%
43 YAO JINTAO - 1% 10% 29% 40% 20%
44 YAN William 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2%
45 TONG ZACHARY - - 1% 9% 41% 49%
46 WANG Justin - 2% 12% 31% 36% 17% 3%
47 YE Eric - - 4% 21% 41% 28% 5%
48 ZUBATIY Samuel - - - 1% 9% 37% 53%
49 HWANG Jayden - 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 4%
50 NOURELDIN Gabriel - 1% 9% 25% 36% 24% 5%
51 FENG Leo - - - 2% 11% 37% 50%
52 KOGAN Benjamin - - 1% 9% 36% 54%
53 KIM Alexander M. - - 3% 21% 52% 24%
53 GLOZMAN Justin - 1% 8% 30% 43% 18%
55 DUDNICK Christian 1% 8% 28% 40% 20% 3%
56 CHTERENTAL Alex - - 3% 19% 44% 33%
57 PAN Alex - 3% 15% 35% 35% 11%
58 FELDMAN Drew - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
59 BYON Adrian - 1% 9% 27% 37% 21% 4%
60 LI Minghan - - 4% 18% 38% 32% 8%
61 KALPATHY Rohit - 2% 10% 29% 36% 19% 3%
62 HOTHA Nikhil - 4% 22% 41% 26% 6% -
63 PATEL Rayn 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
64 WAXLER Seth B. - 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 5%
65 HU Christopher - 2% 16% 36% 32% 12% 1%
66 BONIFIELD Arthur G. - - 3% 17% 38% 33% 9%
67 MICLAUS Justin - - 1% 9% 43% 48%
68 CHUNG Connor - 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
69 ROE Finnegan - 2% 12% 28% 35% 20% 3%
70 LO Konnor - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
71 WANG Zhuoyi - 6% 27% 38% 23% 6% 1%
72 BUKOWSKI Broghan J. 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
73 FIRSTMAN William B. 9% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1%
74 DALAL Rohan 2% 13% 34% 36% 15% 1%
75 SHANKAR Karthik 2% 19% 44% 28% 6% -
76 GREENBAUM Ian L. - - 6% 23% 38% 27% 6%
77 LINDHOLM Oliver S. - - 4% 17% 36% 33% 10%
78 BYON Julian - 3% 15% 34% 32% 13% 2%
79 BONSELL Vance - 3% 15% 34% 33% 13% 2%
80 WILSON Jude - - - 4% 20% 43% 32%
80 NGO Maximus 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
82 ANAND Rohan 1% 9% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
83 HUANG Tom - 3% 17% 37% 32% 10% 1%
84 SUGIURA Samuel 1% 8% 30% 44% 15% 1%
85 KIM Ethan 2% 12% 32% 36% 16% 3%
86 TIAGI George 7% 30% 37% 20% 5% -
87 ZENG Noah - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
88 POSY Daniel 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
89 TURCK Caspar J. 1% 10% 30% 37% 19% 3%
90 LIN Steve - 6% 29% 45% 19% 2%
91 LIN Daniel - 3% 15% 33% 34% 13%
92 YANG Dylan 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
92 KO Zuriel 7% 30% 39% 20% 4% -
94 YAN Kevin - 7% 29% 42% 19% 2%
95 LESUEUR Luke J. 5% 24% 39% 25% 6% -
96 GONG zihao 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2%
97 RAMANAN Jaisimh - 2% 12% 31% 36% 17% 2%
98 LUHAN Zachary - 4% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
98 SOWERS Samuel - 4% 20% 35% 29% 11% 1%
100 GILSON Lucas B. - 1% 5% 19% 35% 30% 10%
101 ROSBERG Dashiell W. - 1% 7% 23% 36% 25% 7%
102 SUN Ziyao 22% 39% 28% 9% 2% - -
103 FRANCOIS Alexander C. 3% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
103 HUANG Alex F. - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
105 WANG William 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
106 ZHAO Zhiyu(Yogi) 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
107 WITCZAK Mateus 9% 32% 37% 18% 4% - -
108 CHEN Samuel 1% 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% -
109 MARKOWITZ Jonathan 10% 54% 29% 6% 1% - -
110 BELL III Alfred (Tripp) R. 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6% 1%
111 HO Jacob 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
112 KIM Theodore 5% 23% 38% 25% 8% 1% -
113 KATZ Ryan 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
114 RAMANAN Govind 1% 10% 31% 37% 19% 3%
115 ZHAO Lucas 2% 17% 41% 31% 8% 1%
116 TSAO Oliver 12% 35% 36% 14% 2% -
117 MAY Griffin M. 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 6%
118 DECK Tyson 4% 26% 39% 24% 6% 1%
119 PENG Bryan - 4% 16% 34% 34% 12%
120 FIELDS Matthew S. - 5% 22% 39% 29% 5%
121 RYAN Kai 1% 9% 31% 37% 18% 4% -
122 XU Ivan 22% 40% 27% 9% 2% - -
123 JENSBY Jason 2% 21% 42% 27% 6% 1% -
124 HENDERSON Lucas 11% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
125 WANG Weiyun 12% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
126 NG Jonathan - 2% 10% 26% 36% 22% 4%
127 OH Aster 5% 26% 39% 24% 7% 1% -
128 MUNJULURI ruhaan 48% 42% 9% 1% - - -
129 ZHOU Miles - 1% 7% 25% 37% 25% 6%
130 SMINK Oliver 1% 14% 41% 34% 9% 1%
131 MUNGUIA Nathan 1% 13% 34% 35% 15% 2%
132 WANG Max 6% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1% -
133 ZHENG LEON 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
134 ZHANG Ethan W. 1% 8% 24% 34% 25% 8% 1%
135 ATWOOD Griffin 3% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1% -
136 HOLZ Lucas 13% 39% 33% 12% 2% -
136 XU Justin 12% 47% 33% 8% 1% -
138 LI Yiwei 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3%
139 JONES Elijah 24% 43% 26% 7% 1% -
140 GERSTMANN Max T. 15% 35% 33% 14% 3% -
141 LIN Philip T. 6% 27% 38% 23% 6% -
142 HUANG Alexander C. 4% 20% 35% 29% 11% 2%
143 NOTOPRADONO Nicholas 11% 35% 35% 15% 3% -
144 ROSS Dash S. 22% 44% 28% 6% - -
145 VAROQUA Nalby 1% 13% 34% 33% 15% 3% -
145 ZHANG Yupeng - 2% 11% 28% 36% 19% 3%
147 DUNCAN Adlai 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
148 LIU Lawrence - 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2%
149 ANDRES Michael - 3% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1%
150 KALOUDIS Sean 17% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
151 SASSI Ilyas 25% 45% 24% 6% 1% - -
151 CRAIN Bennett 22% 49% 24% 5% - - -
153 HUANG Maxwell H. 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
154 FANG Eason 24% 42% 26% 7% 1% - -
155 SADHU Neiyam 12% 44% 33% 10% 1% - -
156 SHANKWILER Christopher 1% 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
157 GAUVEY Kieran 3% 17% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
158 RASMUSSEN Alexzander C. - 4% 20% 38% 29% 8%
159 SHIRPAL Oleksandr - 2% 11% 30% 39% 18%
159 CHEN Jonathan 9% 32% 37% 18% 4% -
161 CUSUMANO Neal 16% 39% 33% 11% 1% -
162 UEMOTO Ken 33% 42% 20% 4% - -
163 ZHOU James Y. 13% 35% 33% 15% 3% -
163 CLARK Keagan 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% -
165 REHM Liam 19% 43% 30% 7% - -
166 WU Richard 14% 37% 34% 13% 2% -
167 LAUB William 26% 42% 24% 6% 1% -
167 LIN Felix 12% 38% 37% 11% 1% -
169 LEE Anderson 40% 42% 15% 2% - -
170 VEDRE Neil 24% 47% 24% 5% - -
170 RAY Evan 61% 34% 5% - - -
172 AHLMAN Jason 42% 45% 12% 1% - -
173 NG Jeremiah - 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2%
174 MARGULIS Jared 19% 39% 29% 11% 2% - -
175 ANAND Rishab 9% 29% 36% 20% 6% 1% -
176 HOPPA Luke H. - 4% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
177 GOLDIN Lucca - 4% 20% 38% 29% 8% 1%
178 KUMAR Arjun 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% - -
179 STAMIS Kyle 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
180 FARIDI Imran 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
181 KESSLER Nathan 2% 20% 39% 28% 9% 1% -
182 FERTIL Ethan 62% 32% 5% - - - -
183 BENSON Jacob 12% 34% 36% 16% 3% - -
183 O'LOUGHLIN Quinlan 33% 45% 18% 3% - - -
185 WANG HongXi 15% 44% 31% 9% 1% - -
186 BARROWS Hunter 56% 36% 7% 1% - - -
187 BERGER Jacob 47% 40% 11% 1% - - -
188 YASAKCI Burhan 57% 34% 8% 1% - - -
189 MATTOO Deven 17% 40% 31% 10% 1% -
189 ALMEDA Stanislav 37% 45% 16% 2% - -
191 CLARK Aram 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
192 LICHTERMAN Jakub 63% 31% 6% - - -
193 GONG ziqian 17% 39% 32% 11% 2% - -
194 KEIPER Benjamin 26% 50% 21% 3% - -
194 BREGADZE NODAR 38% 42% 17% 3% - -
196 LIGH Checed 22% 40% 28% 9% 2% - -
196 BREUER Daniel 31% 43% 21% 5% - - -
198 CHIN Nigel 29% 42% 23% 6% 1% -
199 KESSLER Josh 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
200 SIMATOS Luka D. 9% 31% 36% 19% 4% - -
201 ONG Dylan 8% 39% 38% 13% 2% - -
202 ANSARI Umayr 81% 17% 1% - - - -
203 SABATINI Lucas 74% 24% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.