December SJCC + Division 1 NAC

Junior Men's Saber

Sunday, December 3, 2023 at 2:00 PM

Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HOLZ Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 51%
2 HUANG Ethan F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
3 NAZLYMOV Andrei 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 42%
3 HOLZ William A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
5 JIANG Anthony 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
6 JEFFORDS Alexander 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 48%
7 SU Landon 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 5%
8 YAO JINCHENG 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 17%
9 OH Triton 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
10 WANG Nicolas 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 8%
11 KANG Evan R. 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 4%
12 ATANASSOV Vasil V. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
13 CHEONG Heonjun 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
14 BERRIO Carter E. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
15 ERMAKOV Semeon 100% 100% 92% 66% 28% 4%
16 BROU Inkosi 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 30% 4%
17 LIM William J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
18 SHOMAN Noah 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 20%
19 MCCARTHY Gabriel 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 10%
20 HU Zhao Xuanyu 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 22% 3%
21 DEPEW Spencer 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
22 BARRIOS Diego 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 7% 1%
23 PATIL Aaryan A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
24 CHON Collin 100% 100% 98% 85% 45% 8%
25 MAKLIN Edward P. 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19%
26 TAO Jeffrey 100% 100% 99% 91% 59% 15%
27 MATTOO Surya 100% 100% 94% 73% 35% 7%
28 KIM ELIJAH 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11%
29 ENGEL Peter 100% 100% 97% 79% 45% 14% 2%
30 WANG Daniel 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 4%
31 MAHAPATRA SAMARTH 100% 100% 96% 74% 30% 4%
32 SHAHZAD Azlan A. 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 18%
33 RIGHTLER Samuel 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 27%
34 HJERPE Wade H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 20%
35 CRAIG Samuel 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 10%
36 REN James 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 21%
37 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 10%
38 TIAGI Daniel 100% 98% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
39 ERMAKOV Lev 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
40 HONG Steven 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
41 SAVOY Luca 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 41% 7%
42 SHOMAN Zachary 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 33%
43 YAO JINTAO 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 20%
44 YAN William 100% 98% 82% 48% 15% 2%
45 TONG ZACHARY 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 49%
46 WANG Justin 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 20% 3%
47 YE Eric 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 33% 5%
48 ZUBATIY Samuel 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
49 HWANG Jayden 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 4%
50 NOURELDIN Gabriel 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 28% 5%
51 FENG Leo 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 50%
52 KOGAN Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
53 KIM Alexander M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 76% 24%
53 GLOZMAN Justin 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 18%
55 DUDNICK Christian 100% 99% 91% 63% 23% 3%
56 CHTERENTAL Alex 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 33%
57 PAN Alex 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 11%
58 FELDMAN Drew 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 13% 2%
59 BYON Adrian 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 4%
60 LI Minghan 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 8%
61 KALPATHY Rohit 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 22% 3%
62 HOTHA Nikhil 100% 100% 95% 73% 33% 7% -
63 PATEL Rayn 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
64 WAXLER Seth B. 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 5%
65 HU Christopher 100% 100% 98% 81% 45% 13% 1%
66 BONIFIELD Arthur G. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 42% 9%
67 MICLAUS Justin 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 48%
68 CHUNG Connor 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2%
69 ROE Finnegan 100% 100% 97% 86% 57% 23% 3%
70 LO Konnor 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 14%
71 WANG Zhuoyi 100% 100% 94% 67% 30% 7% 1%
72 BUKOWSKI Broghan J. 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
73 FIRSTMAN William B. 100% 91% 63% 27% 6% 1%
74 DALAL Rohan 100% 98% 85% 52% 16% 1%
75 SHANKAR Karthik 100% 98% 79% 35% 6% -
76 GREENBAUM Ian L. 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 6%
77 LINDHOLM Oliver S. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
78 BYON Julian 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
79 BONSELL Vance 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 2%
80 WILSON Jude 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
80 NGO Maximus 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
82 ANAND Rohan 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 7% 1%
83 HUANG Tom 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 11% 1%
84 SUGIURA Samuel 100% 99% 91% 61% 17% 1%
85 KIM Ethan 100% 98% 86% 55% 19% 3%
86 TIAGI George 100% 93% 62% 25% 5% -
87 ZENG Noah 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
88 POSY Daniel 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1%
89 TURCK Caspar J. 100% 99% 90% 59% 22% 3%
90 LIN Steve 100% 100% 94% 65% 21% 2%
91 LIN Daniel 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 13%
92 YANG Dylan 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
92 KO Zuriel 100% 93% 63% 24% 4% -
94 YAN Kevin 100% 100% 93% 64% 22% 2%
95 LESUEUR Luke J. 100% 95% 71% 32% 7% -
96 GONG zihao 100% 98% 82% 48% 16% 2%
97 RAMANAN Jaisimh 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 20% 2%
98 LUHAN Zachary 100% 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 1%
98 SOWERS Samuel 100% 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 1%
100 GILSON Lucas B. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
101 ROSBERG Dashiell W. 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 7%
102 SUN Ziyao 100% 78% 39% 11% 2% - -
103 FRANCOIS Alexander C. 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
103 HUANG Alex F. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 21%
105 WANG William 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
106 ZHAO Zhiyu(Yogi) 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% -
107 WITCZAK Mateus 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% - -
108 CHEN Samuel 100% 99% 84% 49% 17% 3% -
109 MARKOWITZ Jonathan 100% 90% 36% 7% 1% - -
110 BELL III Alfred (Tripp) R. 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 7% 1%
111 HO Jacob 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1% -
112 KIM Theodore 100% 95% 72% 34% 9% 1% -
113 KATZ Ryan 100% 99% 94% 71% 34% 7%
114 RAMANAN Govind 100% 99% 90% 59% 21% 3%
115 ZHAO Lucas 100% 98% 81% 39% 9% 1%
116 TSAO Oliver 100% 88% 52% 17% 3% -
117 MAY Griffin M. 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 6%
118 DECK Tyson 100% 96% 71% 31% 7% 1%
119 PENG Bryan 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
120 FIELDS Matthew S. 100% 100% 94% 73% 34% 5%
121 RYAN Kai 100% 99% 91% 59% 22% 4% -
122 XU Ivan 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% - -
123 JENSBY Jason 100% 98% 76% 34% 7% 1% -
124 HENDERSON Lucas 100% 89% 54% 19% 3% - -
125 WANG Weiyun 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
126 NG Jonathan 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 26% 4%
127 OH Aster 100% 95% 70% 31% 8% 1% -
128 MUNJULURI ruhaan 100% 52% 10% 1% - - -
129 ZHOU Miles 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
130 SMINK Oliver 100% 99% 85% 44% 10% 1%
131 MUNGUIA Nathan 100% 99% 86% 52% 17% 2%
132 WANG Max 100% 94% 70% 32% 7% 1% -
133 ZHENG LEON 100% 94% 71% 37% 11% 2% -
134 ZHANG Ethan W. 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
135 ATWOOD Griffin 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 2% -
136 HOLZ Lucas 100% 87% 48% 14% 2% -
136 XU Justin 100% 88% 41% 8% 1% -
138 LI Yiwei 100% 98% 83% 52% 19% 3%
139 JONES Elijah 100% 76% 34% 7% 1% -
140 GERSTMANN Max T. 100% 85% 50% 18% 3% -
141 LIN Philip T. 100% 94% 67% 29% 6% -
142 HUANG Alexander C. 100% 96% 76% 42% 13% 2%
143 NOTOPRADONO Nicholas 100% 89% 53% 18% 3% -
144 ROSS Dash S. 100% 78% 34% 7% - -
145 VAROQUA Nalby 100% 99% 86% 52% 19% 4% -
145 ZHANG Yupeng 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 3%
147 DUNCAN Adlai 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
148 LIU Lawrence 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 14% 2%
149 ANDRES Michael 100% 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1%
150 KALOUDIS Sean 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
151 SASSI Ilyas 100% 75% 30% 6% 1% - -
151 CRAIN Bennett 100% 78% 29% 5% - - -
153 HUANG Maxwell H. 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
154 FANG Eason 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% - -
155 SADHU Neiyam 100% 88% 44% 11% 1% - -
156 SHANKWILER Christopher 100% 99% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1%
157 GAUVEY Kieran 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 3% -
158 RASMUSSEN Alexzander C. 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 8%
159 SHIRPAL Oleksandr 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
159 CHEN Jonathan 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% -
161 CUSUMANO Neal 100% 84% 45% 12% 1% -
162 UEMOTO Ken 100% 67% 24% 4% - -
163 ZHOU James Y. 100% 87% 51% 18% 3% -
163 CLARK Keagan 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% -
165 REHM Liam 100% 81% 37% 7% - -
166 WU Richard 100% 86% 49% 15% 2% -
167 LAUB William 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% -
167 LIN Felix 100% 88% 50% 13% 1% -
169 LEE Anderson 100% 60% 18% 3% - -
170 VEDRE Neil 100% 76% 29% 5% - -
170 RAY Evan 100% 39% 5% - - -
172 AHLMAN Jason 100% 58% 13% 1% - -
173 NG Jeremiah 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 16% 2%
174 MARGULIS Jared 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% - -
175 ANAND Rishab 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
176 HOPPA Luke H. 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 1%
177 GOLDIN Lucca 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 9% 1%
178 KUMAR Arjun 100% 85% 50% 18% 4% - -
179 STAMIS Kyle 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% 1%
180 FARIDI Imran 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
181 KESSLER Nathan 100% 98% 78% 38% 10% 1% -
182 FERTIL Ethan 100% 38% 6% - - - -
183 BENSON Jacob 100% 88% 54% 18% 3% - -
183 O'LOUGHLIN Quinlan 100% 67% 22% 4% - - -
185 WANG HongXi 100% 85% 41% 10% 1% - -
186 BARROWS Hunter 100% 44% 8% 1% - - -
187 BERGER Jacob 100% 53% 13% 1% - - -
188 YASAKCI Burhan 100% 43% 8% 1% - - -
189 MATTOO Deven 100% 83% 43% 12% 1% -
189 ALMEDA Stanislav 100% 63% 18% 2% - -
191 CLARK Aram 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
192 LICHTERMAN Jakub 100% 37% 6% - - -
193 GONG ziqian 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
194 KEIPER Benjamin 100% 74% 24% 3% - -
194 BREGADZE NODAR 100% 62% 21% 4% - -
196 LIGH Checed 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% - -
196 BREUER Daniel 100% 69% 26% 5% - - -
198 CHIN Nigel 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% -
199 KESSLER Josh 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
200 SIMATOS Luka D. 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% - -
201 ONG Dylan 100% 92% 53% 15% 2% - -
202 ANSARI Umayr 100% 19% 1% - - - -
203 SABATINI Lucas 100% 26% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.