December SJCC + Division 1 NAC

Cadet Women's Saber

Monday, December 4, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHANG XUANYI 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 33%
2 LEOU Korina 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 7%
3 LI Alexis 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 5%
3 ZENG Sarah 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 22%
5 PABIAN Emilia 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 10%
6 BOYNTON Ainsley 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
7 FERNANDEZ Martina 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
8 CHIANG Melissa 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
9 MANKOVA Varvara 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 8%
10 ZHANG Chenfei 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 42% 9%
11 WANG yining 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
12 KHAN Alissa 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 21%
13 GUGALA Hanna 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 14%
14 YANG Lea 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 21%
15 TABANGAY Heartlyn 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 30%
16 LIN Nicole 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
17 DONG Angel 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 8%
18 CHAN Jolene 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 9%
18 FAVO Isabella 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
20 SENOGLU Irmak 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 20%
21 MAKLIN Sofia 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 14%
22 ZHANG Sophie 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 31% 7%
23 MARGULIAN Maria 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
24 GOLDIN Nina 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 7%
25 CHRISTOTHOULOU Olympia C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 24%
26 SCHAIBLE Sofia L. 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 5%
27 LIU Yifei 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16%
28 WEI JoyAnn 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12%
29 CARTER Keely 100% 99% 93% 74% 42% 14% 2%
30 CHI Claire 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% -
31 ZOLLER Noelle 100% 99% 90% 67% 34% 10% 1%
32 LEMUS-IAKOVIDOU ALEXANDRA 100% 100% 96% 79% 48% 17% 3%
33 DUDNICK Morgan 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
34 GUVEN Coco 100% 100% 94% 74% 38% 9%
35 SHINCHUK Ellisha 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 3%
36 KURAEVA Vasilisa 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 55% 17%
37 HUCHWAJDA Pola 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 34% 8%
38 BAINS Nandini 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
39 BUSH Bethany 100% 99% 93% 74% 42% 14% 2%
40 MUNGUIA Mila 100% 96% 77% 43% 15% 3% -
41 MCGRAW Sadie 100% 97% 83% 52% 21% 4% -
42 BUHAY Kirsten M. 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 3%
43 MEDVINSKY Alexandra 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4%
44 MACKAY Katherine 100% 81% 36% 8% 1% -
45 GOLOVITSER Maya 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 8%
46 HORVITZ Jacqueline 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 5% -
47 PADANILAM Lily 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 11% 1%
48 KNOBEL Sophia 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 14% 2%
49 WANG Gloria Ruoyan 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 31% 7%
50 DHAR Layla 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3%
51 MERCHANT Aishwarya 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
52 TA-ZHOU Emma 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 11% 1%
53 RAMIREZ Mirka A. 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 31% 7%
54 LOURENCO Alexandra 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% - -
55 HAMMERSTROM Aria 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1%
56 XIE Nora 100% 99% 87% 54% 17% 2%
57 WANG JiaQi 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% -
58 XU Emily T. 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 20% 3%
59 LEE Alyson 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
60 ZHENG Valentina 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 6%
61 WU Yuwei 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 9% 1%
62 HALPERIN Elizabeth H. 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2%
63 HUANG Neila 100% 98% 84% 47% 15% 2% -
64 UEMOTO Lynn 100% 93% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
65 SAYSON Andrea 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 31% 6%
66 KALISHMAN Anna 100% 80% 36% 8% 1% - -
67 KANDADAI Lara 100% 99% 92% 67% 32% 8% 1%
68 BARROSO Isabela 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
69 GOMERMAN Sophia 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12%
70 WALLER London 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1%
71 HENRY Soraya S. 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 22% 4%
72 PROBASCO Leila 100% 95% 75% 42% 14% 3% -
72 LATYSHAVA Stephanie 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
74 NEUMAN Ella 100% 95% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
75 MONTORIO Lily M. 100% 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
75 FENG Alicia G. 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 5% -
77 DEHON Inès 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 15% 2%
78 CROOKS Riley 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
79 NADKARNI Marisa 100% 96% 77% 43% 15% 3% -
80 KRIVOSHEEV Alexandra 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
81 STONE Coral 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 9% 1%
82 BERNARD Kathryn 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
83 KRASOWITZ Lucy 100% 94% 71% 37% 12% 2% -
84 SHELLEY Scarlett 100% 77% 30% 6% 1% - -
85 JEFFORDS Sophia 100% 98% 86% 55% 22% 5% -
86 MERMEGAS Olivia 100% 97% 66% 27% 6% 1% -
87 SYED Azra 100% 61% 20% 3% - - -
88 BERRIOS Catalina 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% - -
89 LOPEZ-ONA Mia 100% 97% 78% 42% 13% 2%
90 ONG Lauren 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% -
91 KWON Ava 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% -
92 NAYAK Esha 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 2%
93 HU Anna 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 6%
93 ZAWADA Milena 100% 63% 23% 4% - -
95 HITOMI Nadya 100% 99% 90% 59% 20% 3%
96 KIM Karen 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% -
97 GENTILE Vittoria 100% 83% 46% 16% 3% - -
98 ZHANG Ashley 100% 82% 46% 16% 3% - -
99 ELLIS-FURLONG Ava 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
100 NAYAK Antara 100% 77% 38% 11% 2% - -
101 XU Demi 100% 66% 22% 4% - - -
102 ZHANG Jiaqing 100% 83% 46% 15% 2% - -
103 SEVASTOPULO Sahra 100% 63% 19% 3% - -
104 LAGOON Miriam 100% 89% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
105 POLSTON Ella 100% 85% 50% 18% 4% - -
106 BANGALORE Shriya 100% 62% 17% 2% - - -
107 KIRBY Skye 100% 17% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.