2024 BFC Youth Series 2

Unrated Y-12 Mixed Épée

Saturday, December 9, 2023 at 2:30 PM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 ZHU Una 100% 100% 97% 76% 31%
2 SZCZAPA Lukas 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 29%
3 SONG Aidan 100% 99% 87% 46% 5%
3 MA Brendon 100% 94% 67% 27% 4%
5 LEE Harrison 100% 99% 91% 61% 20%
6 SHI Evan 100% 65% 22% 3% < 1%
7 CHEN Tianjun 100% 94% 68% 28% 5% -
8 ORDORICA Abra 100% 98% 82% 38% 6%
9 BOYLE Bridget 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
10 MANSFIELD Hunter 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 4%
11 SONKU Mira 100% 93% 63% 22% 2%
12 YOON Jonathan 100% 74% 27% 4% -
13 FAUCHER James 100% 100% 97% 62% 16%
14 SILVERSTONE Ryan 100% 100% 93% 67% 28% 5%
15 MCGANN Grant 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% -
17 DAI Jason 100% 98% 81% 44% 10%
18 HOLBROOK Silas 100% 95% 67% 26% 4%
19 WILLIAMS Gavin 100% 88% 56% 21% 4% -
20 PINCIROLI Tommaso 100% 96% 74% 33% 6%
21 LI Jayden 100% 63% 16% 1% -
22 CIANCHETTA David 100% 59% 18% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.