The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Take Action

San Diego Cup - Youth Saber #3

Y-12 Men's Saber

Sunday, December 10, 2023 at 11:00 AM

La Jolla Fencing Academy - San Diego, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 IM Tyler - - 1% 10% 40% 48%
2 KIM Junseong - 2% 12% 30% 38% 18%
3 LI Ryan - 1% 8% 31% 45% 15%
3 WANG Yongen - 1% 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
5 DOOLEY Atticus - - 1% 6% 31% 51% 11%
6 GASTELUM RUIZ Humberto Mateo - - 4% 16% 34% 33% 13%
7 DESAI Arthav 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
8 KIM Suin - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 4%
9 CHAN Troy 18% 38% 31% 11% 2% - -
10 CHIANG Tyson 1% 7% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
11 LVOVSKIY Roman 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
12 LOPEZ Mateo 1% 8% 31% 41% 17% 2%
13 GATTO EnzoPax 3% 20% 36% 28% 11% 2% -
14 CHOW Tyson J. - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
15 BRADIC Andreja 8% 28% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
16 SU Eric 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
17 STRAUSS Reed 6% 25% 36% 25% 8% 1%
18 SLOAN Ethan 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
19 GONZALEZ Paul 20% 46% 27% 6% - -
20 WONG Alexander 2% 16% 41% 32% 8% 1%
21 NGUYEN Ethan 9% 32% 37% 18% 3% -
22 KANG Hyunwoo - 1% 7% 27% 39% 22% 4%
23 LIU Paul 3% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
24 HSIEH Maxwell 51% 37% 11% 1% - - -
25 SHI Jeremy 42% 44% 12% 1% - -
26 ZHANG Connery 1% 15% 35% 33% 14% 2%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.