SoCal Junior Olympic Qualifiers and Y-12

Junior Men's Épée

Sunday, December 10, 2023 at 7:45 AM

Colina Middle School - Gymnasium - Los Angeles, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 WARD Edward - - 3% 15% 40% 43%
2 KIM Alexander 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
3 SUH Victor - 4% 17% 35% 32% 11%
3 SHIN Ryan - 1% 9% 37% 53%
5 NAZARIAN Jonah - 2% 13% 32% 37% 16%
6 LEE Royce 8% 33% 39% 17% 2%
7 PAINTER Noah 6% 27% 41% 23% 4%
8 SCHERZAY Ian 19% 40% 30% 10% 2% -
9 STAFFORD Bryan 2% 14% 32% 34% 16% 2%
10 KIM Remington 31% 43% 21% 4% -
11 CHARETTE Matthew 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% -
12 FU Adrian 18% 38% 31% 12% 2% -
13 O’CONNOR Nathan (Finn) 3% 18% 35% 30% 11% 1%
14 BELLASARIAN Benjamin 5% 25% 41% 25% 4%
15 AUSTIN Atlas 8% 28% 36% 22% 6% -
16 CHARETTE Alex 1% 10% 29% 36% 19% 4%
17 CLARKE Luca 2% 13% 31% 35% 17% 2%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.