SoCal Junior Olympic Qualifiers and Y-12

Junior Men's Épée

Sunday, December 10, 2023 at 7:45 AM

Colina Middle School - Gymnasium - Los Angeles, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 WARD Edward 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 43%
2 KIM Alexander 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
3 SUH Victor 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11%
3 SHIN Ryan 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
5 NAZARIAN Jonah 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16%
6 LEE Royce 100% 92% 59% 19% 2%
7 PAINTER Noah 100% 94% 67% 27% 4%
8 SCHERZAY Ian 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% -
9 STAFFORD Bryan 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 2%
10 KIM Remington 100% 69% 26% 4% -
11 CHARETTE Matthew 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% -
12 FU Adrian 100% 82% 45% 14% 2% -
13 O’CONNOR Nathan (Finn) 100% 97% 78% 43% 13% 1%
14 BELLASARIAN Benjamin 100% 95% 69% 28% 4%
15 AUSTIN Atlas 100% 92% 64% 28% 6% -
16 CHARETTE Alex 100% 99% 89% 59% 23% 4%
17 CLARKE Luca 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 2%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.