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(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

2023 Austin Challenge SYC and RCC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Saturday, December 16, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Round Rock Sports Center - Round Rock, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TANI Tino - - - - 5% 32% 62%
2 SRIVATS Vedh - - - 1% 7% 34% 59%
3 CAO Donald - - 4% 18% 38% 33% 7%
3 LUC Cedric - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
5 BRIMMER Robert (Trey) - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 5%
6 KROON Landon - 1% 6% 25% 43% 25%
7 BOSITA Brennan 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
8 GU Andrew 1% 7% 23% 36% 25% 7% -
9 YU BOWEN - - 6% 27% 45% 22%
10 HWANG Hagan - - 1% 5% 21% 41% 32%
11 GREENSTEIN Viktor - - 4% 22% 45% 29%
12 XIAO Brayden - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
13 MOORE Greyson 9% 31% 37% 19% 4% -
14 ROH Jaden 1% 6% 23% 38% 26% 7% -
15 ZHANG KAIQI - 4% 22% 42% 26% 5%
16 YUEN Caleb - 2% 11% 31% 39% 18%
17 WANG Alex - 4% 15% 30% 32% 16% 3%
18 GRABOWSKI Alexander - - 2% 14% 37% 39% 8%
19 ZHAO Aidan - 2% 12% 32% 36% 17% 2%
20 LIN Alex 8% 28% 37% 22% 6% 1%
21 KAUL Ishaan 1% 9% 31% 39% 18% 2%
22 SRIVATSAV Ishaan 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
23 YU Ian - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
24 FU BRANDEN - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
25 SIDDAMSHETTY Ishaan 9% 28% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
26 KIM Eric - 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2%
27 LI Huangziyue - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
28 SRIVATSAV Anay - 3% 16% 36% 33% 11% 1%
29 SONG Aidan 1% 7% 25% 37% 25% 6%
30 VO Blake 1% 6% 23% 38% 26% 7%
31 QI Jeremy 2% 22% 44% 26% 6% -
32 LU Simon 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
33 SLOAN Ethan 16% 35% 31% 14% 3% - -
34 SALMAN Ibrahim 2% 20% 39% 28% 9% 1% -
35 JEONG JUNWOO - 1% 7% 21% 35% 28% 9%
36 LAU Kyrus - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3%
37 SHAPIRO Leo 2% 11% 27% 33% 20% 6% 1%
38 SRA Nawab 6% 26% 38% 23% 6% 1%
39 JI Derek 26% 42% 25% 7% 1% -
40 STYS Owen 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1%
41 GUO Jonathan 5% 30% 40% 20% 5% - -
42 WANG Luke 3% 19% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
43 MAI Ryan 8% 31% 38% 19% 4% - -
44 KAMURA Kosei 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
45 CHAN Troy 31% 44% 20% 4% - -
46 ZHANG Caleb 5% 37% 41% 15% 2% -
47 DENG Richard 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% -
48 HOLMES Xavier - 1% 9% 28% 39% 21% 3%
49 SHARMA Ayaan 7% 25% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
50 DING Orlando 8% 29% 38% 20% 5% - -
51 BACK SEUNGWOO 1% 5% 19% 33% 28% 12% 2%
52 LI Ryan 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
53 SYMMANK Callen 2% 14% 35% 35% 13% 1%
54 EDELBROCK Beckett 43% 41% 14% 2% - - -
55 DEGUZMAN Miguel Javier 31% 43% 21% 5% - - -
56 QI Zach 22% 40% 28% 9% 1% -
57 WELCH Jackson 75% 22% 2% - - -
58 SHANKAR Rahm 3% 19% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
59 RAJ Adithya 58% 34% 7% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.