Home for the Holidays Open (WWC #3)

Senior Mixed Foil

Saturday, December 16, 2023 at 10:00 AM

Rain City Fencing Center - Bellevue, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 PORRAS Cristian 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 17%
2 MITBERG Gregory W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 83%
3 SPROWLES Cameron D. 100% 100% 95% 72% 29% 3%
3 LEE Benjamin H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 76%
5 WEI Qiancheng 100% 100% 99% 84% 46% 11%
6 LEE Christopher T. 100% 100% 100% 96% 72% 24%
7 HAYES Nadia 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 38%
8 MIN Eric 100% 100% 100% 98% 78% 29%
9 GUERRA Gabriel H. 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
10 LIPPMAN Sam 100% 100% 94% 62% 21% 3%
11 KIM Jackson 100% 100% 99% 90% 54% 13%
12 SHAGIDANYAN German 100% 100% 92% 59% 17% 1%
13 KRYLTSOV Michael 100% 99% 93% 70% 30% 5%
14 LIU Zixian (Aaron) 100% 91% 60% 22% 3% -
15 BEAVER Ava 100% 99% 54% 13% 1% -
16 KIM Andrew J. 100% 100% 97% 76% 32% 2%
17 TONKOVICH Ryan 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% -
18 WU Alistair 100% 97% 77% 37% 7% -
19 ROZALSKI Eli 100% 100% 96% 71% 26% 3%
20 CHUNG Yeongbin 100% 100% 89% 51% 13% -
21 SHAJI Karthik 100% 100% 100% 96% 70% 24%
22 HAN Ashley 100% 82% 36% 7% 1% -
23 HAN Crystal 100% 93% 64% 24% 3% -
24 YAN Noelle 100% 99% 85% 42% 9% 1%
25 ZHANG Matthew 100% 79% 35% 8% 1% -
26 HARROCH Faustin 100% 73% 26% 4% - -
27 GUTIERREZ Nikolai A. 100% 100% 98% 88% 52% 7%
28 VALENTINE Iain 100% 98% 60% 18% 2% -
29 GRANHOLM Carolyn N. 100% 99% 91% 60% 21% 2%
30 ROSSMAN Brock 100% 100% 83% 33% 6% -
31 FECAROTTA Ryan 100% 82% 38% 6% - -
32 SKYWARK Andrew 100% 95% 55% 14% 1% -
33 POWERS Douglas A. 100% 90% 56% 18% 2% -
34 KLEINMAN Joseph 100% 11% - - - -
35 TEARSE Robert (Bob) G. 100% 48% 8% - - -
36 NICHOLSON John 100% 5% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.