Home for the Holidays Open (WWC #3)

Senior Men's Épée

Saturday, December 16, 2023 at 2:00 PM

Rain City Fencing Center - Bellevue, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HUANG Thomas 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 35%
2 SPROWLES Cameron D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 57%
3 LI Brian X. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 65% 15%
3 KHRISSANOV Peter 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 8% 1%
5 HAMZA Tudor 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 14% 1%
6 LIPPMAN Jake 100% 99% 85% 41% 9% 1% -
7 MAKMATOV Vadim 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 18%
8 BU Xian Chen 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 30%
9 DONDISCH Ilan 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 2%
10 LEE Tobias (Toby) T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 26%
11 WELDON Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 20%
12 LEE Andrew O. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 53%
13 DU Shunyu K. 100% 96% 72% 35% 9% 1%
14 KILUK Andrew 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 27% 3%
15 HONZ Jacob 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 17%
16 CARLSON Jesse 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 27% 4%
17 ZHOU Justin 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4%
18 VARNEY John R. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 49% 9%
19 KLEIN Johannes 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 4% -
19 WEGENER Soren 100% 99% 87% 53% 18% 3% -
21 PETERSEN Ephraim 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 7% 1%
22 WONG Matthew 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 5% -
23 KRYLTSOV Greg 100% 97% 77% 35% 7% 1% -
24 GOLAB Alex 100% 95% 72% 31% 7% 1% -
25 KIM Andrew J. 100% 99% 89% 58% 22% 4% -
26 GUAN Nathan 100% 100% 93% 66% 25% 3% -
27 PAINTER Patrick 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 6%
28 JOHNSON Jeff 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 27%
29 BLOM Mark D. 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4% -
30 STOCK Jordan 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 2%
31 KWON Andrew 100% 88% 51% 16% 2% - -
32 KIM Teo 100% 84% 44% 13% 2% - -
33 RABOIN James 100% 63% 21% 4% - -
34 SONG Pascal 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% - -
35 FABBRO Andrew 100% 95% 62% 22% 4% - -
36 GILMORE Nicholas 100% 52% 14% 2% - - -
37 CHAKRABORTY Zorian 100% 79% 39% 10% 1% - -
38 KANIA Robert 100% 76% 28% 5% - - -
39 XUE Jake 100% 50% 10% 1% - - -
40 SILKEY Jason 100% 52% 11% 1% - - -
41 NGUYEN Thai 100% 90% 52% 11% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.