2023 Austin Challenge SYC and RCC

Y-12 Women's Épée

Sunday, December 17, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Round Rock Sports Center - Round Rock, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 XU Serena - - - 2% 21% 77%
2 FISCHBEIN Quinley - - 5% 24% 41% 26% 4%
3 RAMEY Alexa - - 3% 16% 40% 32% 8%
3 SUN Karolyn - - 4% 17% 36% 33% 9%
5 TISMENSKY Abigail - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 22%
6 CHI Zoe - 1% 8% 22% 34% 27% 8%
7 PEI Claire - - 3% 13% 32% 36% 16%
8 CHERNIS Liah - 2% 11% 30% 38% 18%
9 WANG Cecilia - - 2% 12% 33% 38% 15%
10 TALANDZEVICIUS Sophia - - 4% 21% 44% 31%
11 HOLDEN Helena - 1% 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
12 YOUNG Nicole 2% 15% 35% 32% 13% 3% -
13 OLSON Olivia - 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
14 HE Anna - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 30%
15 VOSKOV Olivia 1% 8% 24% 33% 24% 9% 1%
16 ZHAO Yanning - 1% 9% 32% 41% 16%
17 OLELE Ifechi - 2% 12% 28% 34% 20% 4%
18 WU Jessica - - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
19 YAO Chloe - 3% 13% 30% 33% 17% 3%
20 MERRIMAN Rie 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2%
21 HUANG Selina - 3% 17% 40% 32% 8%
22 ZHANG Nancy 11% 31% 35% 18% 5% -
23 XU Chenyu - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
24 YU Chloe - 4% 21% 43% 30% 3%
25 FU Shannon - - - 5% 25% 44% 25%
26 ANDRUS Allie 1% 8% 25% 36% 23% 7% 1%
27 MOKRETSOV Leah 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
28 CHEN Julia Z. - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3%
29 KUPPUSAMY Mahaa 1% 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% -
30 VIJAY Vaishnavi - 1% 5% 20% 35% 30% 9%
31 CHEN Madeline 3% 20% 40% 30% 8% -
32 KOSIM Irene 5% 21% 35% 27% 11% 2% -
33 ZHANG Jane 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
34 YAN Ximei (Alicia) 1% 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1%
35 LIN Gianna 4% 21% 38% 28% 9% 1% -
36 HALE Reagan - 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
37 CAYETANO Audrey - 1% 9% 24% 36% 24% 6%
38 ANEZIOKORO Zahra - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
39 CHO Anya 15% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
40 BRUMMETT Sarah 19% 41% 30% 9% 1% -
41 TISMENSKY Avital - 2% 11% 29% 36% 20% 3%
42 LI Jasmine 11% 32% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
43 KIM Abigail 2% 16% 34% 31% 14% 3% -
44 KOU Cynthia 1% 9% 30% 40% 19% 1%
45 MATTA GALITZINE Lidia 33% 44% 20% 4% - -
46 KARTHIK Diya - 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3%
47 KELLEY Dessa 35% 44% 18% 3% - - -
48 MAENG Gloria - 3% 14% 32% 33% 15% 2%
49 TUMULA Anima 10% 35% 37% 15% 3% - -
50 LI Allison 2% 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% -
51 LEE Zoe 14% 41% 34% 10% 1% -
51 ROMANOV Mia 31% 47% 19% 3% - -
53 LI Anna 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 5%
54 VASYAKIN Nellie 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% -
55 SHABASHOVA Veronika 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
56 BRINDAVAN Vyahriti 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 2% -
57 CHOI Arianna 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 4% -
58 PARK Julia 1% 13% 34% 34% 15% 3% -
59 ELLMER Ava 29% 43% 22% 5% - - -
60 MARTINEZ Taylor 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
61 CHO Jacey 8% 32% 40% 17% 3% -
62 HE Elsa 23% 43% 26% 7% 1% - -
63 RAJ Indra 16% 41% 31% 10% 1% - -
64 SANCHEZSHIELDS Aspen 48% 38% 12% 2% - - -
65 MARTINEZ Adeline 66% 29% 5% - - - -
66 YAN Yuzi < 1% 6% 24% 41% 26% 3% -
67 STOUT Olivia 2% 12% 30% 33% 18% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.