2023 Austin Challenge SYC and RCC

Y-12 Women's Épée

Sunday, December 17, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Round Rock Sports Center - Round Rock, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 XU Serena 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 77%
2 FISCHBEIN Quinley 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 30% 4%
3 RAMEY Alexa 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40% 8%
3 SUN Karolyn 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 9%
5 TISMENSKY Abigail 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
6 CHI Zoe 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 35% 8%
7 PEI Claire 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16%
8 CHERNIS Liah 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
9 WANG Cecilia 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
10 TALANDZEVICIUS Sophia 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 31%
11 HOLDEN Helena 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
12 YOUNG Nicole 100% 98% 83% 48% 16% 3% -
13 OLSON Olivia 100% 100% 97% 80% 46% 14% 2%
14 HE Anna 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
15 VOSKOV Olivia 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 10% 1%
16 ZHAO Yanning 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 16%
17 OLELE Ifechi 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 24% 4%
18 WU Jessica 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
19 YAO Chloe 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 3%
20 MERRIMAN Rie 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2%
21 HUANG Selina 100% 100% 97% 80% 39% 8%
22 ZHANG Nancy 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% -
23 XU Chenyu 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 24%
24 YU Chloe 100% 100% 96% 76% 33% 3%
25 FU Shannon 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 25%
26 ANDRUS Allie 100% 99% 92% 66% 31% 7% 1%
27 MOKRETSOV Leah 100% 97% 79% 44% 15% 2% -
28 CHEN Julia Z. 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3%
29 KUPPUSAMY Mahaa 100% 99% 88% 57% 23% 5% -
30 VIJAY Vaishnavi 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
31 CHEN Madeline 100% 97% 78% 38% 8% -
32 KOSIM Irene 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
33 ZHANG Jane 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
34 YAN Ximei (Alicia) 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 7% 1%
35 LIN Gianna 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1% -
36 HALE Reagan 100% 100% 93% 70% 35% 9% 1%
37 CAYETANO Audrey 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 30% 6%
38 ANEZIOKORO Zahra 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
39 CHO Anya 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
40 BRUMMETT Sarah 100% 81% 40% 10% 1% -
41 TISMENSKY Avital 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 23% 3%
42 LI Jasmine 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
43 KIM Abigail 100% 98% 83% 48% 17% 3% -
44 KOU Cynthia 100% 99% 90% 60% 20% 1%
45 MATTA GALITZINE Lidia 100% 67% 24% 4% - -
46 KARTHIK Diya 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
47 KELLEY Dessa 100% 65% 22% 4% - - -
48 MAENG Gloria 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 2%
49 TUMULA Anima 100% 90% 55% 18% 3% - -
50 LI Allison 100% 98% 83% 48% 16% 3% -
51 LEE Zoe 100% 86% 45% 11% 1% -
51 ROMANOV Mia 100% 69% 22% 3% - -
53 LI Anna 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
54 VASYAKIN Nellie 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% -
55 SHABASHOVA Veronika 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1% -
56 BRINDAVAN Vyahriti 100% 95% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
57 CHOI Arianna 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 4% -
58 PARK Julia 100% 99% 86% 52% 18% 3% -
59 ELLMER Ava 100% 71% 28% 5% - - -
60 MARTINEZ Taylor 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
61 CHO Jacey 100% 92% 60% 20% 3% -
62 HE Elsa 100% 77% 34% 8% 1% - -
63 RAJ Indra 100% 84% 42% 11% 2% - -
64 SANCHEZSHIELDS Aspen 100% 52% 13% 2% - - -
65 MARTINEZ Adeline 100% 34% 5% - - - -
66 YAN Yuzi 100% 100% 94% 70% 29% 3% -
67 STOUT Olivia 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.