2023 Austin Challenge SYC and RCC

Y-14 Women's Saber

Sunday, December 17, 2023 at 11:30 AM

Round Rock Sports Center - Round Rock, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FERNANDEZ Martina - - - 2% 12% 38% 49%
2 GUGALA Hanna - - - 1% 7% 35% 57%
3 SUNG Olivia 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 7% 1%
3 JIANG Evelyn - 1% 9% 28% 41% 20%
5 LIN Elaine - - 2% 10% 32% 42% 14%
6 GAY Sasha - 2% 10% 24% 34% 24% 7%
7 WANG JiaQi - 1% 5% 20% 35% 29% 9%
8 KIM Karen 4% 17% 31% 29% 14% 4% -
9 YUEN Nicole - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
10 LEI Zitong (Meya) - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
11 KU Alathea-Joy - 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
12 FUNG Iris - 2% 8% 23% 33% 26% 8%
13 GAIKWAD Ashmiee - 4% 16% 34% 34% 13%
14 MOON Claire 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
15 KWON Hannah 3% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
16 BROWN Aria 2% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
17 XIAÖ Cindy - 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
18 ZHU Avril - 4% 15% 29% 31% 17% 4%
19 KINKADE Ellie - - 1% 8% 24% 40% 27%
20 LONG Jessie - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
21 LIN Annika - - 3% 15% 38% 36% 7%
22 LIU kai yin aria - 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 4%
23 SEBASTIAN Ava 10% 28% 33% 21% 7% 1% -
24 YU Skylar 1% 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1%
25 KIM Satie - 2% 12% 32% 37% 16% 2%
26 XU Rachel 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
27 ZHAI AMY - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
28 CHOI Charlotte 2% 12% 28% 32% 20% 6% 1%
29 YU Stella 1% 12% 31% 34% 18% 4% -
30 KAUL Tara 2% 11% 27% 32% 20% 7% 1%
31 HWANG YUJUNG 1% 6% 21% 35% 27% 9% 1%
32 LIANG Claire 4% 19% 32% 28% 13% 3% -
33 ZHANG Ashley - 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 6%
34 KIM Grace M. - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
35 WONG Natalie 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% -
36 CAI Veronica - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
37 WANG Jiayi - 3% 13% 30% 34% 18% 3%
37 WANG Tina - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
39 LUKER Hannah - 2% 11% 26% 33% 22% 6%
40 MISHEV Lila - 1% 9% 26% 36% 22% 5%
41 ZHU Elaine - 1% 5% 20% 35% 29% 9%
42 SONG RINKYEONG 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
43 HU Ashley 12% 31% 33% 18% 5% 1% -
44 YE Madeleine 1% 7% 24% 38% 24% 6% -
44 CHONG chaei - 5% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
46 CHERON Helene - 8% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1%
47 CHEN Elaine - 2% 10% 25% 33% 22% 6%
48 ZHANG Olivia 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
49 WANG Emily 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
50 HEATH Isabella 8% 26% 34% 22% 8% 1% -
51 CASTELO Soleil - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 2%
52 OH Chloe 5% 24% 39% 25% 7% 1% -
53 LAUREYNS Ainsley 1% 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% -
54 KIRBY Skye 14% 38% 34% 12% 2% - -
55 LIU Hannah 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 1%
56 OSMINKINA-JONES Kai 3% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
57 CLAIANU Adriana 31% 44% 20% 4% - - -
58 CAI Joanna 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
59 LAI Karen 5% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
60 EDELBROCK Kate 58% 35% 7% 1% - - -
61 CHA Jungyun 2% 20% 37% 28% 10% 2% -
62 SUNG Isabella < 1% 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 2%
63 KANG Soeun 3% 26% 38% 24% 7% 1% -
64 OEI Allyson 5% 32% 40% 20% 4% -
65 VICHARE Rika 35% 41% 19% 4% - - -
66 BRISENO Abira 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1%
67 CHERUKURI Tanvi 29% 43% 23% 5% 1% - -
67 ASPIRAS Avery 23% 45% 25% 6% 1% - -
69 BELIVEAU Agnes 82% 16% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.