2023 Austin Challenge SYC and RCC

Y-14 Women's Saber

Sunday, December 17, 2023 at 11:30 AM

Round Rock Sports Center - Round Rock, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FERNANDEZ Martina 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 49%
2 GUGALA Hanna 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
3 SUNG Olivia 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 8% 1%
3 JIANG Evelyn 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
5 LIN Elaine 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 14%
6 GAY Sasha 100% 100% 98% 88% 64% 30% 7%
7 WANG JiaQi 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
8 KIM Karen 100% 96% 79% 47% 18% 4% -
9 YUEN Nicole 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 14% 2%
10 LEI Zitong (Meya) 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
11 KU Alathea-Joy 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5%
12 FUNG Iris 100% 100% 98% 90% 67% 34% 8%
13 GAIKWAD Ashmiee 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 13%
14 MOON Claire 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1%
15 KWON Hannah 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 3% -
16 BROWN Aria 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 3% -
17 XIAÖ Cindy 100% 100% 92% 67% 31% 8% 1%
18 ZHU Avril 100% 100% 96% 81% 52% 21% 4%
19 KINKADE Ellie 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 66% 27%
20 LONG Jessie 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 19% 3%
21 LIN Annika 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 44% 7%
22 LIU kai yin aria 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 28% 4%
23 SEBASTIAN Ava 100% 90% 62% 29% 8% 1% -
24 YU Skylar 100% 99% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1%
25 KIM Satie 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 18% 2%
26 XU Rachel 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 3% -
27 ZHAI AMY 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
28 CHOI Charlotte 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 7% 1%
29 YU Stella 100% 99% 88% 56% 22% 5% -
30 KAUL Tara 100% 98% 87% 60% 28% 7% 1%
31 HWANG YUJUNG 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 10% 1%
32 LIANG Claire 100% 96% 77% 44% 16% 3% -
33 ZHANG Ashley 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
34 KIM Grace M. 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
35 WONG Natalie 100% 88% 55% 20% 4% -
36 CAI Veronica 100% 100% 96% 79% 48% 18% 3%
37 WANG Jiayi 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 20% 3%
37 WANG Tina 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 25% 4%
39 LUKER Hannah 100% 100% 97% 87% 61% 28% 6%
40 MISHEV Lila 100% 100% 99% 89% 63% 27% 5%
41 ZHU Elaine 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
42 SONG RINKYEONG 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
43 HU Ashley 100% 88% 57% 24% 6% 1% -
44 YE Madeleine 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 6% -
44 CHONG chaei 100% 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
46 CHERON Helene 100% 100% 92% 65% 30% 7% 1%
47 CHEN Elaine 100% 100% 98% 87% 62% 28% 6%
48 ZHANG Olivia 100% 94% 70% 36% 11% 2% -
49 WANG Emily 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 5% -
50 HEATH Isabella 100% 92% 66% 32% 9% 1% -
51 CASTELO Soleil 100% 100% 97% 81% 49% 17% 2%
52 OH Chloe 100% 95% 72% 33% 7% 1% -
53 LAUREYNS Ainsley 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 5% -
54 KIRBY Skye 100% 86% 48% 14% 2% - -
55 LIU Hannah 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
56 OSMINKINA-JONES Kai 100% 97% 81% 49% 19% 4% -
57 CLAIANU Adriana 100% 69% 25% 5% - - -
58 CAI Joanna 100% 90% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
59 LAI Karen 100% 95% 69% 31% 8% 1% -
60 EDELBROCK Kate 100% 42% 7% 1% - - -
61 CHA Jungyun 100% 98% 77% 40% 12% 2% -
62 SUNG Isabella 100% 100% 95% 79% 48% 17% 2%
63 KANG Soeun 100% 97% 71% 33% 8% 1% -
64 OEI Allyson 100% 95% 64% 24% 4% -
65 VICHARE Rika 100% 65% 24% 5% 1% - -
66 BRISENO Abira 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 7% 1%
67 CHERUKURI Tanvi 100% 71% 28% 6% 1% - -
67 ASPIRAS Avery 100% 77% 31% 7% 1% - -
69 BELIVEAU Agnes 100% 18% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.