IL. Division Junior Olympic Qualifier

Junior Men's Épée

Sunday, December 17, 2023 at 11:00 AM

Patten Gymnasium, Northwestern University - Evanston, IL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 ZIEGLER John 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
2 SOBESHKEVYCH Roman 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 28%
3 SERAFYM Damian 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
4 JAMISON Harper 100% 100% 96% 73% 30% 5%
5 SCHECHTER Noah 100% 94% 71% 34% 9% 1%
6 FELICIANO Damien 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% -
7 PETROVICH Alexandar 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 5%
8 HALL Gabriel 100% 99% 87% 56% 20% 3%
9 BOZARTH Alex 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 2%
10 CIACCIO Brian 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 11%
11 RICHARDSON Ray 100% 99% 90% 58% 20% 2%
12 MALEADY Sean 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
13 EICHORN Frederick 100% 64% 20% 3% - -
14 LIM-SEIWERT Armand 100% 73% 30% 7% 1% -
15 LEHNER Brian 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% -
16 COHEN Henry 100% 76% 28% 5% - -
17 GROOTHUIS David 100% 99% 91% 62% 24% 3%
18 STOKER Elliott 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.